Recent advance estimates indicate Canadian real GDP was essentially unchanged in July after a 0.3% June gain, with gains in real estate and professional services offset by declines in retail trade and manufacturing. July merchandise trade data showed exports falling 2.3% while imports rose 2.2%, narrowing the surplus and highlighting volatility in energy and auto sectors. The Bank of Canada held its policy rate at 2.25% on September 2, citing Q2 strength (0.8% quarterly) alongside persistent inflation near 3% from energy prices and trade uncertainties. These mixed signals, combined with the pending September 29 official release, sustain closely matched probabilities across outcome bins, as traders weigh potential revisions against downside risks from tariffs and subdued demand.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado<0,0% 28%
0,4 a 0,5% 28%
0.0 a 0.1% 25%
0,6 a 0,7% 25%
NUEVO
NUEVO
29 sep 2026
<0,0%
28%
0.0 a 0.1%
25%
0.2 a 0.3%
19%
0,4 a 0,5%
28%
0,6 a 0,7%
25%
0,8%+
25%
<0,0% 28%
0,4 a 0,5% 28%
0.0 a 0.1% 25%
0,6 a 0,7% 25%
NUEVO
NUEVO
29 sep 2026
<0,0%
$0 Vol.
28%
0.0 a 0.1%
$20 Vol.
25%
0.2 a 0.3%
$0 Vol.
19%
0,4 a 0,5%
$0 Vol.
28%
0,6 a 0,7%
$0 Vol.
25%
0,8%+
$0 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending July 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for July 2026, scheduled for release on September 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.Recent advance estimates indicate Canadian real GDP was essentially unchanged in July after a 0.3% June gain, with gains in real estate and professional services offset by declines in retail trade and manufacturing. July merchandise trade data showed exports falling 2.3% while imports rose 2.2%, narrowing the surplus and highlighting volatility in energy and auto sectors. The Bank of Canada held its policy rate at 2.25% on September 2, citing Q2 strength (0.8% quarterly) alongside persistent inflation near 3% from energy prices and trade uncertainties. These mixed signals, combined with the pending September 29 official release, sustain closely matched probabilities across outcome bins, as traders weigh potential revisions against downside risks from tariffs and subdued demand.
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending July 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for July 2026, scheduled for release on September 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
Mercado abierto: Sep 8, 2026, 7:36 PM ET
Volumen
$20Fecha de finalización
29 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 7:36 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending July 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for July 2026, scheduled for release on September 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.Recent advance estimates indicate Canadian real GDP was essentially unchanged in July after a 0.3% June gain, with gains in real estate and professional services offset by declines in retail trade and manufacturing. July merchandise trade data showed exports falling 2.3% while imports rose 2.2%, narrowing the surplus and highlighting volatility in energy and auto sectors. The Bank of Canada held its policy rate at 2.25% on September 2, citing Q2 strength (0.8% quarterly) alongside persistent inflation near 3% from energy prices and trade uncertainties. These mixed signals, combined with the pending September 29 official release, sustain closely matched probabilities across outcome bins, as traders weigh potential revisions against downside risks from tariffs and subdued demand.
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending July 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for July 2026, scheduled for release on September 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
Volumen
$20Fecha de finalización
29 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 7:36 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent advance estimates indicate Canadian real GDP was essentially unchanged in July after a 0.3% June gain, with gains in real estate and professional services offset by declines in retail trade and manufacturing. July merchandise trade data showed exports falling 2.3% while imports rose 2.2%, narrowing the surplus and highlighting volatility in energy and auto sectors. The Bank of Canada held its policy rate at 2.25% on September 2, citing Q2 strength (0.8% quarterly) alongside persistent inflation near 3% from energy prices and trade uncertainties. These mixed signals, combined with the pending September 29 official release, sustain closely matched probabilities across outcome bins, as traders weigh potential revisions against downside risks from tariffs and subdued demand.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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