Xi Jinping’s extensive purges of the Central Committee and People’s Liberation Army senior command have removed or sidelined numerous high-ranking officers and officials since 2025, including recent actions against figures such as Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, reinforcing centralized control ahead of the 2027 Party Congress. These moves target perceived disloyalty, factionalism, and corruption while promoting loyal replacements, with no verified reports of organized military or party challenges emerging in official channels or credible reporting. Unsubstantiated online rumors, including recent health-related claims following the BRICS summit, have not altered the absence of concrete indicators of instability. Traders price a coup attempt before 2027 at low probability because the CCP’s institutional mechanisms and Xi’s demonstrated authority over security and personnel decisions continue to suppress factional threats.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
5% probabilidad
$156,951 Vol.
$156,951 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
5% probabilidad
$156,951 Vol.
$156,951 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s extensive purges of the Central Committee and People’s Liberation Army senior command have removed or sidelined numerous high-ranking officers and officials since 2025, including recent actions against figures such as Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, reinforcing centralized control ahead of the 2027 Party Congress. These moves target perceived disloyalty, factionalism, and corruption while promoting loyal replacements, with no verified reports of organized military or party challenges emerging in official channels or credible reporting. Unsubstantiated online rumors, including recent health-related claims following the BRICS summit, have not altered the absence of concrete indicators of instability. Traders price a coup attempt before 2027 at low probability because the CCP’s institutional mechanisms and Xi’s demonstrated authority over security and personnel decisions continue to suppress factional threats.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$156,951Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s extensive purges of the Central Committee and People’s Liberation Army senior command have removed or sidelined numerous high-ranking officers and officials since 2025, including recent actions against figures such as Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, reinforcing centralized control ahead of the 2027 Party Congress. These moves target perceived disloyalty, factionalism, and corruption while promoting loyal replacements, with no verified reports of organized military or party challenges emerging in official channels or credible reporting. Unsubstantiated online rumors, including recent health-related claims following the BRICS summit, have not altered the absence of concrete indicators of instability. Traders price a coup attempt before 2027 at low probability because the CCP’s institutional mechanisms and Xi’s demonstrated authority over security and personnel decisions continue to suppress factional threats.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$156,951Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s extensive purges of the Central Committee and People’s Liberation Army senior command have removed or sidelined numerous high-ranking officers and officials since 2025, including recent actions against figures such as Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, reinforcing centralized control ahead of the 2027 Party Congress. These moves target perceived disloyalty, factionalism, and corruption while promoting loyal replacements, with no verified reports of organized military or party challenges emerging in official channels or credible reporting. Unsubstantiated online rumors, including recent health-related claims following the BRICS summit, have not altered the absence of concrete indicators of instability. Traders price a coup attempt before 2027 at low probability because the CCP’s institutional mechanisms and Xi’s demonstrated authority over security and personnel decisions continue to suppress factional threats.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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