Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and European ensembles converge on a 29–31°C maximum for Ankara on August 18 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light northerly flow that favors strong daytime heating without significant moisture or cloud interference. This places the market-implied 44.5% probability on 30°C and 35% on 29°C as the core consensus, with 31°C at 12.5% reflecting slight upside risk from model spread in boundary-layer temperatures. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 31°C, but current short-range guidance indicates modest cooling relative to peak summer values due to a subtle trough influence. Updated runs in the next 24–48 hours will tighten resolution criteria around observed daily maxima.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ankara el 18 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Ankara el 18 de agosto?
30°C 44%
29°C 35%
31°C 13%
28°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 ago 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
8%
29°C
35%
30°C
44%
31°C
13%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 44%
29°C 35%
31°C 13%
28°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 ago 2026
25°C or below
$18 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$28 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$49 Vol.
3%
28°C
$50 Vol.
8%
29°C
$356 Vol.
35%
30°C
$122 Vol.
44%
31°C
$25 Vol.
13%
32°C
$18 Vol.
4%
33°C
$115 Vol.
1%
34°C
$32 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$28 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and European ensembles converge on a 29–31°C maximum for Ankara on August 18 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light northerly flow that favors strong daytime heating without significant moisture or cloud interference. This places the market-implied 44.5% probability on 30°C and 35% on 29°C as the core consensus, with 31°C at 12.5% reflecting slight upside risk from model spread in boundary-layer temperatures. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 31°C, but current short-range guidance indicates modest cooling relative to peak summer values due to a subtle trough influence. Updated runs in the next 24–48 hours will tighten resolution criteria around observed daily maxima.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$842Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and European ensembles converge on a 29–31°C maximum for Ankara on August 18 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light northerly flow that favors strong daytime heating without significant moisture or cloud interference. This places the market-implied 44.5% probability on 30°C and 35% on 29°C as the core consensus, with 31°C at 12.5% reflecting slight upside risk from model spread in boundary-layer temperatures. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 31°C, but current short-range guidance indicates modest cooling relative to peak summer values due to a subtle trough influence. Updated runs in the next 24–48 hours will tighten resolution criteria around observed daily maxima.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$842Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and European ensembles converge on a 29–31°C maximum for Ankara on August 18 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light northerly flow that favors strong daytime heating without significant moisture or cloud interference. This places the market-implied 44.5% probability on 30°C and 35% on 29°C as the core consensus, with 31°C at 12.5% reflecting slight upside risk from model spread in boundary-layer temperatures. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 31°C, but current short-range guidance indicates modest cooling relative to peak summer values due to a subtle trough influence. Updated runs in the next 24–48 hours will tighten resolution criteria around observed daily maxima.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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