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icon for ¿La temperatura más alta en Ankara el 24 de agosto?

¿La temperatura más alta en Ankara el 24 de agosto?

icon for ¿La temperatura más alta en Ankara el 24 de agosto?

¿La temperatura más alta en Ankara el 24 de agosto?

32°C 57%

31°C 22%

33°C 14%

30°C 6%

Polymarket
NUEVO

32°C 57%

31°C 22%

33°C 14%

30°C 6%

Polymarket
NUEVO

28°C or below

$60 Vol.

1%

29°C

$5 Vol.

1%

30°C

$10 Vol.

6%

31°C

$38 Vol.

22%

32°C

$195 Vol.

57%

33°C

$29 Vol.

14%

34°C

$12 Vol.

5%

35°C

$16 Vol.

3%

36°C

$5 Vol.

2%

37°C

$5 Vol.

2%

38°C or higher

$185 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including WeatherBug, Yr.no, Met Office, and Turkish outlets, converge on a daytime maximum of 31–33°C in Ankara on August 24, 2026, with the bulk of guidance centering on 32°C.** This aligns closely with the market’s leading implied probability for 32°C at 55.5%, followed by 31°C at 22.5% and 33°C at 14%. Persistent high-pressure dominance, clear skies, and light northeast winds are suppressing cloud cover and limiting moisture, allowing strong solar heating during peak daylight hours while keeping overnight lows in the mid-teens Celsius. Current conditions on August 22 (highs near 34–35°C) show a modest cooling trend into the weekend and early next week as the flow shifts, yet remains well above seasonal norms without any frontal passages or significant moisture return that would alter the thermal profile. Model consensus across short-range guidance indicates minimal day-to-day variability in the 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer mixing, supporting a narrow distribution around 32°C. Any upward or downward revision in the final observed maximum would most likely stem from small differences in observed wind speeds, local urban heat effects at the official station, or minor adjustments in the 24–48 hour forecast window. No major synoptic changes are anticipated before resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$560
Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including WeatherBug, Yr.no, Met Office, and Turkish outlets, converge on a daytime maximum of 31–33°C in Ankara on August 24, 2026, with the bulk of guidance centering on 32°C.** This aligns closely with the market’s leading implied probability for 32°C at 55.5%, followed by 31°C at 22.5% and 33°C at 14%. Persistent high-pressure dominance, clear skies, and light northeast winds are suppressing cloud cover and limiting moisture, allowing strong solar heating during peak daylight hours while keeping overnight lows in the mid-teens Celsius. Current conditions on August 22 (highs near 34–35°C) show a modest cooling trend into the weekend and early next week as the flow shifts, yet remains well above seasonal norms without any frontal passages or significant moisture return that would alter the thermal profile. Model consensus across short-range guidance indicates minimal day-to-day variability in the 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer mixing, supporting a narrow distribution around 32°C. Any upward or downward revision in the final observed maximum would most likely stem from small differences in observed wind speeds, local urban heat effects at the official station, or minor adjustments in the 24–48 hour forecast window. No major synoptic changes are anticipated before resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$560
Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿La temperatura más alta en Ankara el 24 de agosto?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "32°C" con 57%, seguido de "31°C" con 23%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 57¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 57% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿La temperatura más alta en Ankara el 24 de agosto?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 22, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿La temperatura más alta en Ankara el 24 de agosto?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿La temperatura más alta en Ankara el 24 de agosto?" es "32°C" con 57%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 57% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "31°C" con 23%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿La temperatura más alta en Ankara el 24 de agosto?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.