Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in 48-hour forecasts for Beijing's highest temperature on April 5, with outcomes clustered around 17–21°C as ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF diverge by 2–3°C due to variable cloud cover and frontal timing. The China Meteorological Administration's latest guidance calls for a 19°C high under sunny-to-cloudy skies, following recent observations of 17°C on April 1 amid clouds, warming to around 24°C on April 3 under hazy high pressure, but now cooling with northerly winds and potential sandstorms from Mongolia. Early spring variability, historical April averages near 18°C, and urban heat at Beijing Capital International Airport further differentiate slim margins, with updated model runs expected by April 4.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Pekín el 5 de abril?
¿La temperatura más alta en Pekín el 5 de abril?
20°C 26%
21°C 21%
18°C 19%
19°C 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 abr 2026
13°C o menos
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
6%
16°C
8%
17°C
14%
18°C
19%
19°C
15%
20°C
25%
21°C
21%
22°C
8%
23°C o más
2%
20°C 26%
21°C 21%
18°C 19%
19°C 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 abr 2026
13°C o menos
$341 Vol.
1%
14°C
$412 Vol.
2%
15°C
$665 Vol.
6%
16°C
$587 Vol.
8%
17°C
$398 Vol.
14%
18°C
$258 Vol.
19%
19°C
$212 Vol.
15%
20°C
$325 Vol.
25%
21°C
$577 Vol.
21%
22°C
$318 Vol.
8%
23°C o más
$285 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in 48-hour forecasts for Beijing's highest temperature on April 5, with outcomes clustered around 17–21°C as ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF diverge by 2–3°C due to variable cloud cover and frontal timing. The China Meteorological Administration's latest guidance calls for a 19°C high under sunny-to-cloudy skies, following recent observations of 17°C on April 1 amid clouds, warming to around 24°C on April 3 under hazy high pressure, but now cooling with northerly winds and potential sandstorms from Mongolia. Early spring variability, historical April averages near 18°C, and urban heat at Beijing Capital International Airport further differentiate slim margins, with updated model runs expected by April 4.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 1, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Volumen
$4,376Fecha de finalización
5 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in 48-hour forecasts for Beijing's highest temperature on April 5, with outcomes clustered around 17–21°C as ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF diverge by 2–3°C due to variable cloud cover and frontal timing. The China Meteorological Administration's latest guidance calls for a 19°C high under sunny-to-cloudy skies, following recent observations of 17°C on April 1 amid clouds, warming to around 24°C on April 3 under hazy high pressure, but now cooling with northerly winds and potential sandstorms from Mongolia. Early spring variability, historical April averages near 18°C, and urban heat at Beijing Capital International Airport further differentiate slim margins, with updated model runs expected by April 4.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$4,376Fecha de finalización
5 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in 48-hour forecasts for Beijing's highest temperature on April 5, with outcomes clustered around 17–21°C as ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF diverge by 2–3°C due to variable cloud cover and frontal timing. The China Meteorological Administration's latest guidance calls for a 19°C high under sunny-to-cloudy skies, following recent observations of 17°C on April 1 amid clouds, warming to around 24°C on April 3 under hazy high pressure, but now cooling with northerly winds and potential sandstorms from Mongolia. Early spring variability, historical April averages near 18°C, and urban heat at Beijing Capital International Airport further differentiate slim margins, with updated model runs expected by April 4.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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