Official National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model consensus project a sunny, hot day with a high near 102°F for Dallas on August 29, underpinned by light southeast winds, minimal cloud cover, and persistent high pressure that has produced similar readings the prior two days. This consensus positions the 100-101°F bin as the clear market leader at 57.5% implied probability, while the narrower spread to 102-103°F reflects residual uncertainty in afternoon peak timing and exact observation site. Stable late-summer conditions and low precipitation chances limit upside risk for higher bins, with traders monitoring any last evening model updates before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Dallas el 29 de agosto?
100-101°F 61%
104-105°F 25%
102-103°F 19%
98-99°F 16%
95°F or below
6%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
16%
100-101°F
61%
102-103°F
19%
104-105°F
25%
106-107°F
5%
108-109°F
5%
110-111°F
5%
112-113°F
5%
114°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 61%
104-105°F 25%
102-103°F 19%
98-99°F 16%
95°F or below
6%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
16%
100-101°F
61%
102-103°F
19%
104-105°F
25%
106-107°F
5%
108-109°F
5%
110-111°F
5%
112-113°F
5%
114°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model consensus project a sunny, hot day with a high near 102°F for Dallas on August 29, underpinned by light southeast winds, minimal cloud cover, and persistent high pressure that has produced similar readings the prior two days. This consensus positions the 100-101°F bin as the clear market leader at 57.5% implied probability, while the narrower spread to 102-103°F reflects residual uncertainty in afternoon peak timing and exact observation site. Stable late-summer conditions and low precipitation chances limit upside risk for higher bins, with traders monitoring any last evening model updates before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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