Latest ECMWF and GFS forecast ensembles project Istanbul Airport's highest temperature today between 12°C and 14°C, centering near 13°C and driving trader consensus with 13°C at 39% implied probability edging 12°C at 31.5%. Persistent northerly winds transport cool continental air masses while thick cloud cover curbs solar insolation, keeping peaks well below April climatological norms of 16–18°C. The razor-thin odds differential stems from model divergences on afternoon cloud thinning and boundary-layer mixing, which could yield a 1°C swing in peak hourly readings. Hourly observations from official NOAA-monitored stations at the airport will dictate final resolution by evening, underscoring short-range forecast uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Istanbul on April 15?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 15?
13°C 39%
12°C 32%
14°C 20%
15°C 4.3%
NUEVO
$25,743 Vol.
NUEVO
$25,743 Vol.
15 abr 2026
10°C or below
1%
11°C
4%
12°C
32%
13°C
39%
14°C
20%
15°C
4%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
13°C 39%
12°C 32%
14°C 20%
15°C 4.3%
NUEVO
$25,743 Vol.
NUEVO
$25,743 Vol.
15 abr 2026
10°C or below
$2,725 Vol.
1%
11°C
$2,865 Vol.
4%
12°C
$651 Vol.
32%
13°C
$1,103 Vol.
39%
14°C
$761 Vol.
20%
15°C
$4,316 Vol.
4%
16°C
$4,612 Vol.
2%
17°C
$4,108 Vol.
3%
18°C
$1,587 Vol.
1%
19°C
$557 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$2,459 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS forecast ensembles project Istanbul Airport's highest temperature today between 12°C and 14°C, centering near 13°C and driving trader consensus with 13°C at 39% implied probability edging 12°C at 31.5%. Persistent northerly winds transport cool continental air masses while thick cloud cover curbs solar insolation, keeping peaks well below April climatological norms of 16–18°C. The razor-thin odds differential stems from model divergences on afternoon cloud thinning and boundary-layer mixing, which could yield a 1°C swing in peak hourly readings. Hourly observations from official NOAA-monitored stations at the airport will dictate final resolution by evening, underscoring short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Volumen
$25,743Fecha de finalización
15 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS forecast ensembles project Istanbul Airport's highest temperature today between 12°C and 14°C, centering near 13°C and driving trader consensus with 13°C at 39% implied probability edging 12°C at 31.5%. Persistent northerly winds transport cool continental air masses while thick cloud cover curbs solar insolation, keeping peaks well below April climatological norms of 16–18°C. The razor-thin odds differential stems from model divergences on afternoon cloud thinning and boundary-layer mixing, which could yield a 1°C swing in peak hourly readings. Hourly observations from official NOAA-monitored stations at the airport will dictate final resolution by evening, underscoring short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$25,743Fecha de finalización
15 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS forecast ensembles project Istanbul Airport's highest temperature today between 12°C and 14°C, centering near 13°C and driving trader consensus with 13°C at 39% implied probability edging 12°C at 31.5%. Persistent northerly winds transport cool continental air masses while thick cloud cover curbs solar insolation, keeping peaks well below April climatological norms of 16–18°C. The razor-thin odds differential stems from model divergences on afternoon cloud thinning and boundary-layer mixing, which could yield a 1°C swing in peak hourly readings. Hourly observations from official NOAA-monitored stations at the airport will dictate final resolution by evening, underscoring short-range forecast uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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