Forecast models from agencies such as those informing AccuWeather and timeanddate place Istanbul’s daily minimum on August 22 in the 20–23 °C range, consistent with late-August climatology where overnight lows average near 20–21 °C under northeasterly flow and clear skies. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because ensemble spreads remain modest, driven by minor differences in boundary-layer humidity, wind speed, and urban heat-island effects across measurement sites. Radiative cooling under dry conditions could push the minimum toward 20–21 °C, while slightly higher moisture or reduced wind would favor 22–23 °C. No major synoptic shifts are expected before the period ends, keeping resolution sensitive to the final observed low.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Estambul el 22 de agosto?
18°C or below 72%
22°C 44%
20°C 43%
21°C 43%
18°C or below
72%
19°C
37%
20°C
43%
21°C
43%
22°C
44%
23°C
45%
24°C
43%
25°C
4%
26°C
7%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
2%
18°C or below 72%
22°C 44%
20°C 43%
21°C 43%
18°C or below
72%
19°C
37%
20°C
43%
21°C
43%
22°C
44%
23°C
45%
24°C
43%
25°C
4%
26°C
7%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies such as those informing AccuWeather and timeanddate place Istanbul’s daily minimum on August 22 in the 20–23 °C range, consistent with late-August climatology where overnight lows average near 20–21 °C under northeasterly flow and clear skies. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because ensemble spreads remain modest, driven by minor differences in boundary-layer humidity, wind speed, and urban heat-island effects across measurement sites. Radiative cooling under dry conditions could push the minimum toward 20–21 °C, while slightly higher moisture or reduced wind would favor 22–23 °C. No major synoptic shifts are expected before the period ends, keeping resolution sensitive to the final observed low.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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