**Strong forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models projects Jinan’s maximum temperature on August 17 to reach 32–34 °C, comfortably above the 26 °C threshold.** Mid-August climatology for the region supports daily highs near 31 °C under persistent subtropical high pressure over Shandong, with current conditions showing no significant cooling influences such as frontal passages or extensive cloud cover. Official guidance from sources including AccuWeather, TimeandDate, and the Met Office aligns on hot, partly cloudy conditions with light winds, keeping the market-implied odds for 26 °C or higher near 98.9 %. Trader consensus reflects this high-confidence outlook backed by real capital. Realistic challenges remain limited but could include an unexpected shift in steering patterns or localized measurement variance at official stations, though models show minimal divergence at this short lead time.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Jinan el 17 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Jinan el 17 de agosto?
26°C or higher 99.4%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
19°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 ago 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
99%
26°C or higher 99.4%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
19°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 ago 2026
16°C or below
$525 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$525 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$486 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$546 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$265 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$110 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$382 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$752 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$2,114 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models projects Jinan’s maximum temperature on August 17 to reach 32–34 °C, comfortably above the 26 °C threshold.** Mid-August climatology for the region supports daily highs near 31 °C under persistent subtropical high pressure over Shandong, with current conditions showing no significant cooling influences such as frontal passages or extensive cloud cover. Official guidance from sources including AccuWeather, TimeandDate, and the Met Office aligns on hot, partly cloudy conditions with light winds, keeping the market-implied odds for 26 °C or higher near 98.9 %. Trader consensus reflects this high-confidence outlook backed by real capital. Realistic challenges remain limited but could include an unexpected shift in steering patterns or localized measurement variance at official stations, though models show minimal divergence at this short lead time.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$5,936Fecha de finalización
17 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models projects Jinan’s maximum temperature on August 17 to reach 32–34 °C, comfortably above the 26 °C threshold.** Mid-August climatology for the region supports daily highs near 31 °C under persistent subtropical high pressure over Shandong, with current conditions showing no significant cooling influences such as frontal passages or extensive cloud cover. Official guidance from sources including AccuWeather, TimeandDate, and the Met Office aligns on hot, partly cloudy conditions with light winds, keeping the market-implied odds for 26 °C or higher near 98.9 %. Trader consensus reflects this high-confidence outlook backed by real capital. Realistic challenges remain limited but could include an unexpected shift in steering patterns or localized measurement variance at official stations, though models show minimal divergence at this short lead time.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,936Fecha de finalización
17 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Strong forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models projects Jinan’s maximum temperature on August 17 to reach 32–34 °C, comfortably above the 26 °C threshold.** Mid-August climatology for the region supports daily highs near 31 °C under persistent subtropical high pressure over Shandong, with current conditions showing no significant cooling influences such as frontal passages or extensive cloud cover. Official guidance from sources including AccuWeather, TimeandDate, and the Met Office aligns on hot, partly cloudy conditions with light winds, keeping the market-implied odds for 26 °C or higher near 98.9 %. Trader consensus reflects this high-confidence outlook backed by real capital. Realistic challenges remain limited but could include an unexpected shift in steering patterns or localized measurement variance at official stations, though models show minimal divergence at this short lead time.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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