Persistent marine layer influence and onshore flow from the Pacific are the main drivers keeping National Weather Service forecast highs for Los Angeles on June 21 clustered in the upper 60s to low 70s, aligning with the market's tightest probabilities around 68–71°F. Sea-surface temperatures remain near or slightly above average, supporting a deeper marine layer that caps afternoon warming despite seasonal solar input, while weak pressure gradients limit offshore warming from Santa Ana patterns. Model consensus from recent runs shows only modest day-to-day variability, with traders pricing in the typical 2–4°F uncertainty range around official LAX observations. Upcoming NWS updates and any shift in low-level wind forecasts could narrow the 68–73°F band further before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Los Angeles on June 21?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on June 21?
70-71°F 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$58,153 Vol.
$58,153 Vol.
21 jun 2026
59°F or below
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78°F or higher
No
70-71°F 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$58,153 Vol.
$58,153 Vol.
21 jun 2026
59°F or below
$284 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$374 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$866 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$3,071 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$2,849 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$19,060 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$16,437 Vol.
Yes
72-73°F
$8,444 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$5,637 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$740 Vol.
No
78°F or higher
$389 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer influence and onshore flow from the Pacific are the main drivers keeping National Weather Service forecast highs for Los Angeles on June 21 clustered in the upper 60s to low 70s, aligning with the market's tightest probabilities around 68–71°F. Sea-surface temperatures remain near or slightly above average, supporting a deeper marine layer that caps afternoon warming despite seasonal solar input, while weak pressure gradients limit offshore warming from Santa Ana patterns. Model consensus from recent runs shows only modest day-to-day variability, with traders pricing in the typical 2–4°F uncertainty range around official LAX observations. Upcoming NWS updates and any shift in low-level wind forecasts could narrow the 68–73°F band further before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 19, 2026, 9:15 PM ET
Volumen
$58,153Fecha de finalización
21 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 19, 2026, 9:15 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer influence and onshore flow from the Pacific are the main drivers keeping National Weather Service forecast highs for Los Angeles on June 21 clustered in the upper 60s to low 70s, aligning with the market's tightest probabilities around 68–71°F. Sea-surface temperatures remain near or slightly above average, supporting a deeper marine layer that caps afternoon warming despite seasonal solar input, while weak pressure gradients limit offshore warming from Santa Ana patterns. Model consensus from recent runs shows only modest day-to-day variability, with traders pricing in the typical 2–4°F uncertainty range around official LAX observations. Upcoming NWS updates and any shift in low-level wind forecasts could narrow the 68–73°F band further before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$58,153Fecha de finalización
21 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 19, 2026, 9:15 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Persistent marine layer influence and onshore flow from the Pacific are the main drivers keeping National Weather Service forecast highs for Los Angeles on June 21 clustered in the upper 60s to low 70s, aligning with the market's tightest probabilities around 68–71°F. Sea-surface temperatures remain near or slightly above average, supporting a deeper marine layer that caps afternoon warming despite seasonal solar input, while weak pressure gradients limit offshore warming from Santa Ana patterns. Model consensus from recent runs shows only modest day-to-day variability, with traders pricing in the typical 2–4°F uncertainty range around official LAX observations. Upcoming NWS updates and any shift in low-level wind forecasts could narrow the 68–73°F band further before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes