Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 22°C (42%) and 21°C (39%) for Madrid's highest temperature on April 3 at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport, driven by the latest AEMET forecast projecting a 22°C maximum under calm winds and clear skies, aligned with ECMWF and GFS ensemble means clustering tightly around 21-22°C. A building high-pressure ridge over Iberia supports above-normal warmth—exceeding April climatological averages of 18-19°C—following stable mild conditions with yesterday's highs near 19°C. Differentiating factors include subtle model spreads on peak afternoon heating and minor timing variations, with inherent short-range forecast uncertainty; hourly AEMET updates and airport observations through mid-afternoon will refine the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Madrid on April 3?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 3?
22°C 41%
21°C 40%
20°C 11%
23°C 10%
$24,854 Vol.
$24,854 Vol.
3 abr 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
11%
21°C
40%
22°C
41%
23°C
10%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
22°C 41%
21°C 40%
20°C 11%
23°C 10%
$24,854 Vol.
$24,854 Vol.
3 abr 2026
16°C or below
$2,575 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,536 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,562 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$4,175 Vol.
2%
20°C
$3,090 Vol.
11%
21°C
$2,224 Vol.
40%
22°C
$2,612 Vol.
41%
23°C
$2,716 Vol.
10%
24°C
$1,542 Vol.
1%
25°C
$1,255 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$1,567 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 22°C (42%) and 21°C (39%) for Madrid's highest temperature on April 3 at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport, driven by the latest AEMET forecast projecting a 22°C maximum under calm winds and clear skies, aligned with ECMWF and GFS ensemble means clustering tightly around 21-22°C. A building high-pressure ridge over Iberia supports above-normal warmth—exceeding April climatological averages of 18-19°C—following stable mild conditions with yesterday's highs near 19°C. Differentiating factors include subtle model spreads on peak afternoon heating and minor timing variations, with inherent short-range forecast uncertainty; hourly AEMET updates and airport observations through mid-afternoon will refine the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 4:11 PM ET
Volumen
$24,854Fecha de finalización
3 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 4:11 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 22°C (42%) and 21°C (39%) for Madrid's highest temperature on April 3 at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport, driven by the latest AEMET forecast projecting a 22°C maximum under calm winds and clear skies, aligned with ECMWF and GFS ensemble means clustering tightly around 21-22°C. A building high-pressure ridge over Iberia supports above-normal warmth—exceeding April climatological averages of 18-19°C—following stable mild conditions with yesterday's highs near 19°C. Differentiating factors include subtle model spreads on peak afternoon heating and minor timing variations, with inherent short-range forecast uncertainty; hourly AEMET updates and airport observations through mid-afternoon will refine the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$24,854Fecha de finalización
3 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 4:11 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 22°C (42%) and 21°C (39%) for Madrid's highest temperature on April 3 at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport, driven by the latest AEMET forecast projecting a 22°C maximum under calm winds and clear skies, aligned with ECMWF and GFS ensemble means clustering tightly around 21-22°C. A building high-pressure ridge over Iberia supports above-normal warmth—exceeding April climatological averages of 18-19°C—following stable mild conditions with yesterday's highs near 19°C. Differentiating factors include subtle model spreads on peak afternoon heating and minor timing variations, with inherent short-range forecast uncertainty; hourly AEMET updates and airport observations through mid-afternoon will refine the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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