Latest forecast models from sources including the Met Office and European weather services converge on a high of 25–26°C for Madrid on September 17 under partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds, aligning near the 26.2°C historical average for the date. This supports the near-even trader consensus between the 26°C (40.5% implied probability) and 27°C (38.0%) outcomes, as small differences in model resolution of afternoon heating, cloud cover, or station-specific readings can tip the official maximum. Recent stable high-pressure patterns have prevented significant deviations, with low precipitation risk and minimal temperature spread across ensembles. Updated runs overnight will likely refine the final range ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 17 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 17 de septiembre?
26°C 37%
27°C 36%
28°C 16%
25°C 13%
NUEVO
$14,397 Vol.
NUEVO
$14,397 Vol.
17 sep 2026
21°C o menos
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
13%
26°C
37%
27°C
36%
28°C
16%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31 °C o más
<1%
26°C 37%
27°C 36%
28°C 16%
25°C 13%
NUEVO
$14,397 Vol.
NUEVO
$14,397 Vol.
17 sep 2026
21°C o menos
$361 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$503 Vol.
1%
23°C
$568 Vol.
1%
24°C
$406 Vol.
2%
25°C
$2,850 Vol.
13%
26°C
$3,614 Vol.
37%
27°C
$2,587 Vol.
36%
28°C
$2,007 Vol.
16%
29°C
$476 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$364 Vol.
<1%
31 °C o más
$659 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from sources including the Met Office and European weather services converge on a high of 25–26°C for Madrid on September 17 under partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds, aligning near the 26.2°C historical average for the date. This supports the near-even trader consensus between the 26°C (40.5% implied probability) and 27°C (38.0%) outcomes, as small differences in model resolution of afternoon heating, cloud cover, or station-specific readings can tip the official maximum. Recent stable high-pressure patterns have prevented significant deviations, with low precipitation risk and minimal temperature spread across ensembles. Updated runs overnight will likely refine the final range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$14,397Fecha de finalización
17 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from sources including the Met Office and European weather services converge on a high of 25–26°C for Madrid on September 17 under partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds, aligning near the 26.2°C historical average for the date. This supports the near-even trader consensus between the 26°C (40.5% implied probability) and 27°C (38.0%) outcomes, as small differences in model resolution of afternoon heating, cloud cover, or station-specific readings can tip the official maximum. Recent stable high-pressure patterns have prevented significant deviations, with low precipitation risk and minimal temperature spread across ensembles. Updated runs overnight will likely refine the final range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$14,397Fecha de finalización
17 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from sources including the Met Office and European weather services converge on a high of 25–26°C for Madrid on September 17 under partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds, aligning near the 26.2°C historical average for the date. This supports the near-even trader consensus between the 26°C (40.5% implied probability) and 27°C (38.0%) outcomes, as small differences in model resolution of afternoon heating, cloud cover, or station-specific readings can tip the official maximum. Recent stable high-pressure patterns have prevented significant deviations, with low precipitation risk and minimal temperature spread across ensembles. Updated runs overnight will likely refine the final range ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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