Current short-range ensemble forecasts from global models indicate typical August monsoon conditions over Manila, with peak daytime heating modulated by variable cloud cover and scattered convection. This keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered between 30°C and 31°C, reflecting model spread in maximum temperature outputs rather than a single dominant signal. Urban heat-island effects and the position of the monsoon trough introduce additional local variability, while historical August maxima for the city center average near 31°C. Updated model runs from agencies such as PAGASA and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will likely refine these outcomes ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 24 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 24 de agosto?
31°C 34%
30°C 32%
32°C 17%
29°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
24°C o menos
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
8%
29°C
12%
30°C
32%
31°C
34%
32°C
17%
33°C
12%
34°C o más
6%
31°C 34%
30°C 32%
32°C 17%
29°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
24°C o menos
$0 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$5 Vol.
1%
27°C
$5 Vol.
1%
28°C
$5 Vol.
8%
29°C
$13 Vol.
12%
30°C
$18 Vol.
32%
31°C
$13 Vol.
34%
32°C
$24 Vol.
17%
33°C
$0 Vol.
12%
34°C o más
$21 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range ensemble forecasts from global models indicate typical August monsoon conditions over Manila, with peak daytime heating modulated by variable cloud cover and scattered convection. This keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered between 30°C and 31°C, reflecting model spread in maximum temperature outputs rather than a single dominant signal. Urban heat-island effects and the position of the monsoon trough introduce additional local variability, while historical August maxima for the city center average near 31°C. Updated model runs from agencies such as PAGASA and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will likely refine these outcomes ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$105Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range ensemble forecasts from global models indicate typical August monsoon conditions over Manila, with peak daytime heating modulated by variable cloud cover and scattered convection. This keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered between 30°C and 31°C, reflecting model spread in maximum temperature outputs rather than a single dominant signal. Urban heat-island effects and the position of the monsoon trough introduce additional local variability, while historical August maxima for the city center average near 31°C. Updated model runs from agencies such as PAGASA and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will likely refine these outcomes ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$105Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range ensemble forecasts from global models indicate typical August monsoon conditions over Manila, with peak daytime heating modulated by variable cloud cover and scattered convection. This keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered between 30°C and 31°C, reflecting model spread in maximum temperature outputs rather than a single dominant signal. Urban heat-island effects and the position of the monsoon trough introduce additional local variability, while historical August maxima for the city center average near 31°C. Updated model runs from agencies such as PAGASA and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will likely refine these outcomes ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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