Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, reinforced by scattered to moderate rainfall and extensive cloud cover, is the primary driver keeping Manila's September 9 maximum temperatures closely contested between 28°C and 29°C in trader sentiment. Official forecasts from PAGASA and numerical models indicate daytime highs near 28–30°C amid frequent thunderstorms that reduce solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, aligning with the market's tight clustering around these values and lower odds for 30°C or above. Historical September averages near 30–31°C provide context, yet current moisture-laden southwesterly flow and high humidity favor the lower end of the distribution. Resolution hinges on the precise timing and intensity of afternoon convection, with latest model runs showing limited warming potential before evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 9 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 9 de septiembre?
29°C 33%
28°C 27%
30°C 19%
27°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 sep 2026
23°C o menos
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
11%
28°C
27%
29°C
33%
30°C
19%
31°C
5%
32°C
2%
33°C o más
1%
29°C 33%
28°C 27%
30°C 19%
27°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 sep 2026
23°C o menos
$240 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$240 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$60 Vol.
2%
26°C
$277 Vol.
4%
27°C
$1,788 Vol.
11%
28°C
$1,408 Vol.
27%
29°C
$312 Vol.
33%
30°C
$352 Vol.
19%
31°C
$168 Vol.
5%
32°C
$1 Vol.
2%
33°C o más
$145 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, reinforced by scattered to moderate rainfall and extensive cloud cover, is the primary driver keeping Manila's September 9 maximum temperatures closely contested between 28°C and 29°C in trader sentiment. Official forecasts from PAGASA and numerical models indicate daytime highs near 28–30°C amid frequent thunderstorms that reduce solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, aligning with the market's tight clustering around these values and lower odds for 30°C or above. Historical September averages near 30–31°C provide context, yet current moisture-laden southwesterly flow and high humidity favor the lower end of the distribution. Resolution hinges on the precise timing and intensity of afternoon convection, with latest model runs showing limited warming potential before evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$4,992Fecha de finalización
9 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, reinforced by scattered to moderate rainfall and extensive cloud cover, is the primary driver keeping Manila's September 9 maximum temperatures closely contested between 28°C and 29°C in trader sentiment. Official forecasts from PAGASA and numerical models indicate daytime highs near 28–30°C amid frequent thunderstorms that reduce solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, aligning with the market's tight clustering around these values and lower odds for 30°C or above. Historical September averages near 30–31°C provide context, yet current moisture-laden southwesterly flow and high humidity favor the lower end of the distribution. Resolution hinges on the precise timing and intensity of afternoon convection, with latest model runs showing limited warming potential before evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,992Fecha de finalización
9 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, reinforced by scattered to moderate rainfall and extensive cloud cover, is the primary driver keeping Manila's September 9 maximum temperatures closely contested between 28°C and 29°C in trader sentiment. Official forecasts from PAGASA and numerical models indicate daytime highs near 28–30°C amid frequent thunderstorms that reduce solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, aligning with the market's tight clustering around these values and lower odds for 30°C or above. Historical September averages near 30–31°C provide context, yet current moisture-laden southwesterly flow and high humidity favor the lower end of the distribution. Resolution hinges on the precise timing and intensity of afternoon convection, with latest model runs showing limited warming potential before evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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