Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Mexico City's highest temperature on April 19, with implied probabilities clustered around 25–27°C amid Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projections of 28–30°C persisting through April 18 under a stable high-pressure ridge and northerly winds of 10–20 km/h. Recent observations confirm daily highs near 28°C, aligning with early warm-season climatology (April average ~26°C at official stations like Observatorio Central), but differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloudiness reducing insolation, gusty winds enhancing vertical mixing to cap peaks, and urban heat island effects at measurement sites. New SMN updates and GFS/ECMWF model runs expected today could sharpen the outlook as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 19?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 19?
26°C 27%
27°C 25%
25°C 21%
28°C or higher 18%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 abr 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
9%
25°C
21%
26°C
27%
27°C
25%
28°C or higher
18%
26°C 27%
27°C 25%
25°C 21%
28°C or higher 18%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 abr 2026
18°C or below
$663 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$630 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$444 Vol.
1%
21°C
$337 Vol.
1%
22°C
$120 Vol.
2%
23°C
$1,248 Vol.
3%
24°C
$257 Vol.
9%
25°C
$63 Vol.
21%
26°C
$641 Vol.
27%
27°C
$68 Vol.
25%
28°C or higher
$122 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Mexico City's highest temperature on April 19, with implied probabilities clustered around 25–27°C amid Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projections of 28–30°C persisting through April 18 under a stable high-pressure ridge and northerly winds of 10–20 km/h. Recent observations confirm daily highs near 28°C, aligning with early warm-season climatology (April average ~26°C at official stations like Observatorio Central), but differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloudiness reducing insolation, gusty winds enhancing vertical mixing to cap peaks, and urban heat island effects at measurement sites. New SMN updates and GFS/ECMWF model runs expected today could sharpen the outlook as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 17, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
Volumen
$4,531Fecha de finalización
19 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 17, 2026, 12:38 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Mexico City's highest temperature on April 19, with implied probabilities clustered around 25–27°C amid Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projections of 28–30°C persisting through April 18 under a stable high-pressure ridge and northerly winds of 10–20 km/h. Recent observations confirm daily highs near 28°C, aligning with early warm-season climatology (April average ~26°C at official stations like Observatorio Central), but differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloudiness reducing insolation, gusty winds enhancing vertical mixing to cap peaks, and urban heat island effects at measurement sites. New SMN updates and GFS/ECMWF model runs expected today could sharpen the outlook as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$4,531Fecha de finalización
19 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 17, 2026, 12:38 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Mexico City's highest temperature on April 19, with implied probabilities clustered around 25–27°C amid Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projections of 28–30°C persisting through April 18 under a stable high-pressure ridge and northerly winds of 10–20 km/h. Recent observations confirm daily highs near 28°C, aligning with early warm-season climatology (April average ~26°C at official stations like Observatorio Central), but differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloudiness reducing insolation, gusty winds enhancing vertical mixing to cap peaks, and urban heat island effects at measurement sites. New SMN updates and GFS/ECMWF model runs expected today could sharpen the outlook as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes