**Forecast guidance for Mexico City on August 21 centers on a daily high near 25–26°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 52% for 26°C and 26% for 25°C.** Mexico City’s high elevation (~2,240 m) and mid-August position in the rainy season produce typical daytime maxima of 23–26°C, with cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated humidity suppressing peak heating. Latest model consensus from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather indicates mostly cloudy skies and light winds, supporting modest temperatures around 25°C (77°F) rather than clear-sky extremes. Climatological baselines near 24°C and the low probability assigned to 27°C or higher (under 20% combined) reflect traders’ assessment that convective activity and moisture will limit insolation. Minor forecast revisions in storm timing or cloud persistence remain the main variables that could shift the narrow 25°C–26°C contest before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en la Ciudad de México el 21 de agosto?
26°C 55%
25°C 28%
27°C 16%
24°C 4%
20°C o menos
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
28%
26°C
55%
27°C
16%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C o más
<1%
26°C 55%
25°C 28%
27°C 16%
24°C 4%
20°C o menos
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
28%
26°C
55%
27°C
16%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C o más
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast guidance for Mexico City on August 21 centers on a daily high near 25–26°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 52% for 26°C and 26% for 25°C.** Mexico City’s high elevation (~2,240 m) and mid-August position in the rainy season produce typical daytime maxima of 23–26°C, with cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated humidity suppressing peak heating. Latest model consensus from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather indicates mostly cloudy skies and light winds, supporting modest temperatures around 25°C (77°F) rather than clear-sky extremes. Climatological baselines near 24°C and the low probability assigned to 27°C or higher (under 20% combined) reflect traders’ assessment that convective activity and moisture will limit insolation. Minor forecast revisions in storm timing or cloud persistence remain the main variables that could shift the narrow 25°C–26°C contest before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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