Mexico City's high-elevation setting near 2,240 meters and ongoing North American monsoon pattern typically moderate August daily highs to the 22–25°C range through frequent afternoon cloud cover, convection, and showers that limit peak insolation. Latest forecast guidance for August 7, 2026, shows model consensus around 23–24°C, consistent with climatological baselines and recent observations of similar conditions. This scientific context underpins the market-implied probabilities, with 24°C leading at 42% followed closely by 23°C and 25°C, reflecting trader assessment of limited upside from drier or clearer conditions that could briefly elevate readings. Updated model runs and any shifts in steering patterns or moisture will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en la Ciudad de México el 7 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en la Ciudad de México el 7 de agosto?
24°C 42%
23°C 26%
25°C 24%
22°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 ago 2026
17°C o menos
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
26%
24°C
42%
25°C
24%
26°C
6%
27°C o más
3%
24°C 42%
23°C 26%
25°C 24%
22°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 ago 2026
17°C o menos
$481 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$185 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$80 Vol.
1%
20°C
$159 Vol.
1%
21°C
$177 Vol.
2%
22°C
$458 Vol.
7%
23°C
$132 Vol.
26%
24°C
$987 Vol.
42%
25°C
$496 Vol.
24%
26°C
$488 Vol.
6%
27°C o más
$185 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high-elevation setting near 2,240 meters and ongoing North American monsoon pattern typically moderate August daily highs to the 22–25°C range through frequent afternoon cloud cover, convection, and showers that limit peak insolation. Latest forecast guidance for August 7, 2026, shows model consensus around 23–24°C, consistent with climatological baselines and recent observations of similar conditions. This scientific context underpins the market-implied probabilities, with 24°C leading at 42% followed closely by 23°C and 25°C, reflecting trader assessment of limited upside from drier or clearer conditions that could briefly elevate readings. Updated model runs and any shifts in steering patterns or moisture will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volumen
$3,828Fecha de finalización
7 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high-elevation setting near 2,240 meters and ongoing North American monsoon pattern typically moderate August daily highs to the 22–25°C range through frequent afternoon cloud cover, convection, and showers that limit peak insolation. Latest forecast guidance for August 7, 2026, shows model consensus around 23–24°C, consistent with climatological baselines and recent observations of similar conditions. This scientific context underpins the market-implied probabilities, with 24°C leading at 42% followed closely by 23°C and 25°C, reflecting trader assessment of limited upside from drier or clearer conditions that could briefly elevate readings. Updated model runs and any shifts in steering patterns or moisture will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,828Fecha de finalización
7 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mexico City's high-elevation setting near 2,240 meters and ongoing North American monsoon pattern typically moderate August daily highs to the 22–25°C range through frequent afternoon cloud cover, convection, and showers that limit peak insolation. Latest forecast guidance for August 7, 2026, shows model consensus around 23–24°C, consistent with climatological baselines and recent observations of similar conditions. This scientific context underpins the market-implied probabilities, with 24°C leading at 42% followed closely by 23°C and 25°C, reflecting trader assessment of limited upside from drier or clearer conditions that could briefly elevate readings. Updated model runs and any shifts in steering patterns or moisture will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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