Traders see the highest temperature in Mexico City on July 17 as most likely 23–24°C because current model consensus from regional and global ensembles shows afternoon peaks in that narrow range under typical July highland conditions. Mexico City’s 2,240-meter elevation and urban heat island moderate extremes, while variable cloud cover, scattered showers, and steering winds create the main uncertainty separating 23°C from 24°C outcomes. Recent model runs have tightened around these values with limited spread, keeping 25°C as a plausible upside scenario and sub-22°C probabilities low given seasonal baselines. New observational data and updated forecasts tomorrow morning will likely refine the final distribution before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en la Ciudad de México el 17 de julio?
¿La temperatura más alta en la Ciudad de México el 17 de julio?
24°C 100.0%
18°C o menos <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$31,321 Vol.
$31,321 Vol.
17 jul 2026
18°C o menos
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Sí
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C o más
No
24°C 100.0%
18°C o menos <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$31,321 Vol.
$31,321 Vol.
17 jul 2026
18°C o menos
$686 Vol.
No
19°C
$1,551 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,442 Vol.
No
21°C
$4,882 Vol.
No
22°C
$3,148 Vol.
No
23°C
$4,315 Vol.
No
24°C
$7,914 Vol.
Sí
25°C
$2,622 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,900 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,702 Vol.
No
28°C o más
$1,160 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Mexico City on July 17 as most likely 23–24°C because current model consensus from regional and global ensembles shows afternoon peaks in that narrow range under typical July highland conditions. Mexico City’s 2,240-meter elevation and urban heat island moderate extremes, while variable cloud cover, scattered showers, and steering winds create the main uncertainty separating 23°C from 24°C outcomes. Recent model runs have tightened around these values with limited spread, keeping 25°C as a plausible upside scenario and sub-22°C probabilities low given seasonal baselines. New observational data and updated forecasts tomorrow morning will likely refine the final distribution before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 15, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volumen
$31,321Fecha de finalización
17 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 15, 2026, 9:04 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Mexico City on July 17 as most likely 23–24°C because current model consensus from regional and global ensembles shows afternoon peaks in that narrow range under typical July highland conditions. Mexico City’s 2,240-meter elevation and urban heat island moderate extremes, while variable cloud cover, scattered showers, and steering winds create the main uncertainty separating 23°C from 24°C outcomes. Recent model runs have tightened around these values with limited spread, keeping 25°C as a plausible upside scenario and sub-22°C probabilities low given seasonal baselines. New observational data and updated forecasts tomorrow morning will likely refine the final distribution before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$31,321Fecha de finalización
17 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 15, 2026, 9:04 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Traders see the highest temperature in Mexico City on July 17 as most likely 23–24°C because current model consensus from regional and global ensembles shows afternoon peaks in that narrow range under typical July highland conditions. Mexico City’s 2,240-meter elevation and urban heat island moderate extremes, while variable cloud cover, scattered showers, and steering winds create the main uncertainty separating 23°C from 24°C outcomes. Recent model runs have tightened around these values with limited spread, keeping 25°C as a plausible upside scenario and sub-22°C probabilities low given seasonal baselines. New observational data and updated forecasts tomorrow morning will likely refine the final distribution before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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