Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a daytime high near 24–26°C for Mexico City on September 20, aligning with the market's 60.5% implied probability for 26°C. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city experiences moderated temperatures due to thinner atmosphere and orographic effects, with September's typical mix of cloud cover, light winds, and scattered showers limiting peak warming. Official observations show afternoon readings reaching 23–24°C amid partly cloudy skies and low precipitation chances, consistent with climatological norms rather than anomalous heat. Model consensus supports this range, though minor variations in timing of any clearing could allow brief spikes toward 27°C, reflected in the 17.5% odds for that outcome. Updated guidance from agencies like the National Meteorological Service will refine resolution criteria based on official station maxima.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en la Ciudad de México el 20 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en la Ciudad de México el 20 de septiembre?
26°C 70%
25°C 33%
27°C o más 7%
17°C o menos <1%
$14,499 Vol.
$14,499 Vol.
20 sep 2026
17°C o menos
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
33%
26°C
62%
27°C o más
7%
26°C 70%
25°C 33%
27°C o más 7%
17°C o menos <1%
$14,499 Vol.
$14,499 Vol.
20 sep 2026
17°C o menos
$496 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$36 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$26 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$26 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$36 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$380 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$247 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,701 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,843 Vol.
33%
26°C
$2,861 Vol.
62%
27°C o más
$4,848 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a daytime high near 24–26°C for Mexico City on September 20, aligning with the market's 60.5% implied probability for 26°C. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city experiences moderated temperatures due to thinner atmosphere and orographic effects, with September's typical mix of cloud cover, light winds, and scattered showers limiting peak warming. Official observations show afternoon readings reaching 23–24°C amid partly cloudy skies and low precipitation chances, consistent with climatological norms rather than anomalous heat. Model consensus supports this range, though minor variations in timing of any clearing could allow brief spikes toward 27°C, reflected in the 17.5% odds for that outcome. Updated guidance from agencies like the National Meteorological Service will refine resolution criteria based on official station maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 18, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volumen
$14,499Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 18, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a daytime high near 24–26°C for Mexico City on September 20, aligning with the market's 60.5% implied probability for 26°C. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city experiences moderated temperatures due to thinner atmosphere and orographic effects, with September's typical mix of cloud cover, light winds, and scattered showers limiting peak warming. Official observations show afternoon readings reaching 23–24°C amid partly cloudy skies and low precipitation chances, consistent with climatological norms rather than anomalous heat. Model consensus supports this range, though minor variations in timing of any clearing could allow brief spikes toward 27°C, reflected in the 17.5% odds for that outcome. Updated guidance from agencies like the National Meteorological Service will refine resolution criteria based on official station maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$14,499Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 18, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a daytime high near 24–26°C for Mexico City on September 20, aligning with the market's 60.5% implied probability for 26°C. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city experiences moderated temperatures due to thinner atmosphere and orographic effects, with September's typical mix of cloud cover, light winds, and scattered showers limiting peak warming. Official observations show afternoon readings reaching 23–24°C amid partly cloudy skies and low precipitation chances, consistent with climatological norms rather than anomalous heat. Model consensus supports this range, though minor variations in timing of any clearing could allow brief spikes toward 27°C, reflected in the 17.5% odds for that outcome. Updated guidance from agencies like the National Meteorological Service will refine resolution criteria based on official station maxima.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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