Trader consensus on Miami's March 23 high temperature bunches tightly around 78-83°F, driven by NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensembles clustering near 81°F with a 2-3°F spread from sea breeze variability. Leading 82-83°F odds (24.5%) edge out 78-79°F (23%) due to forecast models showing lighter morning clouds and delayed onshore winds allowing greater diurnal heating over urban terrain, versus earlier breezes capping peaks lower. Historical norms average 79°F for the date, with sea surface temperatures near 78°F moderating extremes. Key watch: afternoon convection risk and 18z updates could tilt probabilities further.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Miami el 23 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Miami el 23 de marzo?
82-83°F 25%
78-79°F 23%
80-81°F 21%
84-85°F 20%
71°F o menos
1%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
23%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
20%
86-87°F
17%
88-89°F
8%
90°F o más
8%
82-83°F 25%
78-79°F 23%
80-81°F 21%
84-85°F 20%
71°F o menos
1%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
23%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
20%
86-87°F
17%
88-89°F
8%
90°F o más
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Miami's March 23 high temperature bunches tightly around 78-83°F, driven by NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensembles clustering near 81°F with a 2-3°F spread from sea breeze variability. Leading 82-83°F odds (24.5%) edge out 78-79°F (23%) due to forecast models showing lighter morning clouds and delayed onshore winds allowing greater diurnal heating over urban terrain, versus earlier breezes capping peaks lower. Historical norms average 79°F for the date, with sea surface temperatures near 78°F moderating extremes. Key watch: afternoon convection risk and 18z updates could tilt probabilities further.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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