Trader sentiment for Chongqing's highest temperature on March 24 remains evenly split across outcomes from 10°C or below to 20°C or higher, reflecting profound uncertainty in short-range forecasts amid the city's volatile early spring weather. Ensemble models from global systems like ECMWF and GFS show a wide spread of 12–19°C peaks, driven by clashing influences: a lingering cold air mass from northern China versus encroaching southerly warmth, compounded by Chongqing's basin topography that amplifies diurnal swings. Historical late-March highs average 17–18°C with standard deviations of 4–5°C, but recent observations indicate fluctuating cloud cover and winds, keeping models divergent until closer to resolution. Traders eye CMA updates for shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chongqing on March 24?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 24?
10°C or below 26%
11°C 26%
12°C 26%
13°C 26%
10°C or below
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
26%
19°C
26%
20°C or higher
26%
10°C or below 26%
11°C 26%
12°C 26%
13°C 26%
10°C or below
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
26%
19°C
26%
20°C or higher
26%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 19, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Chongqing's highest temperature on March 24 remains evenly split across outcomes from 10°C or below to 20°C or higher, reflecting profound uncertainty in short-range forecasts amid the city's volatile early spring weather. Ensemble models from global systems like ECMWF and GFS show a wide spread of 12–19°C peaks, driven by clashing influences: a lingering cold air mass from northern China versus encroaching southerly warmth, compounded by Chongqing's basin topography that amplifies diurnal swings. Historical late-March highs average 17–18°C with standard deviations of 4–5°C, but recent observations indicate fluctuating cloud cover and winds, keeping models divergent until closer to resolution. Traders eye CMA updates for shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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