Trader sentiment for Chongqing's highest temperature on March 23 remains tightly clustered across outcomes, with 20°C slightly leading at 26%, driven by ensemble weather model forecasts showing a mean around 19-21°C but wide spread due to lingering uncertainty from a weakening cold front and variable southerly winds. Official Chinese Meteorological Administration projections indicate daytime highs of 18-22°C amid partly cloudy skies, influenced by the city's basin topography amplifying urban heat island effects, while historical late-March averages hover near 17°C. GFS and ECMWF runs diverge by 3-5°C, factoring in jet stream positioning; traders eye afternoon updates for resolution criteria tied to verified station data from Chongqing Jiangbei Airport.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chongqing on March 23?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 23?
20°C 26%
14°C or below 26%
15°C 26%
16°C 26%
14°C or below
26%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
26%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C or higher
26%
20°C 26%
14°C or below 26%
15°C 26%
16°C 26%
14°C or below
26%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
26%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C or higher
26%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 19, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Chongqing's highest temperature on March 23 remains tightly clustered across outcomes, with 20°C slightly leading at 26%, driven by ensemble weather model forecasts showing a mean around 19-21°C but wide spread due to lingering uncertainty from a weakening cold front and variable southerly winds. Official Chinese Meteorological Administration projections indicate daytime highs of 18-22°C amid partly cloudy skies, influenced by the city's basin topography amplifying urban heat island effects, while historical late-March averages hover near 17°C. GFS and ECMWF runs diverge by 3-5°C, factoring in jet stream positioning; traders eye afternoon updates for resolution criteria tied to verified station data from Chongqing Jiangbei Airport.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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