Trader consensus heavily favors a high of 15°C (54.6%) in Chongqing on March 20, driven by the latest forecasts from China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF, projecting daytime maxima around 15.2°C under persistent northerly airflow and overcast skies. Chongqing's unique basin topography enhances cooling by trapping cooler air masses, aligning with recent observations of 14-15°C highs over the past week amid a weak low-pressure system. Historical March averages hover near 16°C, but current synoptic patterns—low solar insolation and stable boundary layers—position 16°C (37.5%) as a close second, while 17°C+ outcomes fade due to limited convective warming potential. Model convergence has tightened implied probabilities, underscoring low upside risk for extremes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chongqing el 20 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chongqing el 20 de marzo?
15°C 86.0%
16°C 30%
17°C 19%
19°C o más 9.3%
14°C
<1%
15°C
86%
16°C
30%
17°C
19%
18°C
1%
19°C o más
9%
15°C 86.0%
16°C 30%
17°C 19%
19°C o más 9.3%
14°C
<1%
15°C
86%
16°C
30%
17°C
19%
18°C
1%
19°C o más
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 19, 2026, 6:51 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a high of 15°C (54.6%) in Chongqing on March 20, driven by the latest forecasts from China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF, projecting daytime maxima around 15.2°C under persistent northerly airflow and overcast skies. Chongqing's unique basin topography enhances cooling by trapping cooler air masses, aligning with recent observations of 14-15°C highs over the past week amid a weak low-pressure system. Historical March averages hover near 16°C, but current synoptic patterns—low solar insolation and stable boundary layers—position 16°C (37.5%) as a close second, while 17°C+ outcomes fade due to limited convective warming potential. Model convergence has tightened implied probabilities, underscoring low upside risk for extremes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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