Trader sentiment favors 19°C (30.5%) and 20°C (28.0%) as the highest temperature in Wellington on March 22, propelled by MetService's latest forecast indicating a daytime peak near 20°C amid light southerlies and partial cloud cover limiting solar heating. March climatology at Wellington Airport averages 19.6°C maxima, with recent model ensembles—ECMWF biasing cooler toward 19°C, GFS warmer at 21°C—capturing this spread amid lingering autumnal high-pressure influences. Diurnal temperature range and afternoon sea breezes introduce uncertainty, differentiating the tight odds while sidelining extremes below 18°C or above 22°C based on verified historical precedents.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 22 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 22 de marzo?
19°C 30%
20°C 30%
21°C 16%
18°C 15%
$84,488 Vol.
$84,488 Vol.
12°C o menos
1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17 °C
6%
18°C
15%
19°C
30%
20°C
30%
21°C
16%
22°C o más
5%
19°C 30%
20°C 30%
21°C 16%
18°C 15%
$84,488 Vol.
$84,488 Vol.
12°C o menos
1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17 °C
6%
18°C
15%
19°C
30%
20°C
30%
21°C
16%
22°C o más
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment favors 19°C (30.5%) and 20°C (28.0%) as the highest temperature in Wellington on March 22, propelled by MetService's latest forecast indicating a daytime peak near 20°C amid light southerlies and partial cloud cover limiting solar heating. March climatology at Wellington Airport averages 19.6°C maxima, with recent model ensembles—ECMWF biasing cooler toward 19°C, GFS warmer at 21°C—capturing this spread amid lingering autumnal high-pressure influences. Diurnal temperature range and afternoon sea breezes introduce uncertainty, differentiating the tight odds while sidelining extremes below 18°C or above 22°C based on verified historical precedents.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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