Short-range forecast models from European and global ensembles show Milan under a stable high-pressure ridge with clear skies, light southerly winds, and strong daytime insolation, supporting peak temperatures of 34–35°C on August 15. These conditions favor modest warming through boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention, while limited moisture and subsidence suppress cloud development that could otherwise cap the maximum. Ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short lead time, yet slight differences in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any weak trough passage could shift the outcome between the two leading market-implied outcomes. Historical August climatology for Milan peaks near 30–32°C, so current guidance reflects a modest positive anomaly driven by the synoptic setup. Updated model runs and official Italian meteorological service guidance over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 15 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 15 de agosto?
34°C 39%
35°C 21%
33°C 12%
32°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 ago 2026
30°C or below
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
7%
33°C
12%
34°C
39%
35°C
35%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C
5%
39°C
2%
40°C or higher
1%
34°C 39%
35°C 21%
33°C 12%
32°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 ago 2026
30°C or below
$10 Vol.
1%
31°C
$12 Vol.
1%
32°C
$7 Vol.
7%
33°C
$0 Vol.
12%
34°C
$0 Vol.
39%
35°C
$0 Vol.
35%
36°C
$0 Vol.
4%
37°C
$5 Vol.
1%
38°C
$5 Vol.
5%
39°C
$12 Vol.
2%
40°C or higher
$12 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecast models from European and global ensembles show Milan under a stable high-pressure ridge with clear skies, light southerly winds, and strong daytime insolation, supporting peak temperatures of 34–35°C on August 15. These conditions favor modest warming through boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention, while limited moisture and subsidence suppress cloud development that could otherwise cap the maximum. Ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short lead time, yet slight differences in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any weak trough passage could shift the outcome between the two leading market-implied outcomes. Historical August climatology for Milan peaks near 30–32°C, so current guidance reflects a modest positive anomaly driven by the synoptic setup. Updated model runs and official Italian meteorological service guidance over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$63Fecha de finalización
15 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecast models from European and global ensembles show Milan under a stable high-pressure ridge with clear skies, light southerly winds, and strong daytime insolation, supporting peak temperatures of 34–35°C on August 15. These conditions favor modest warming through boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention, while limited moisture and subsidence suppress cloud development that could otherwise cap the maximum. Ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short lead time, yet slight differences in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any weak trough passage could shift the outcome between the two leading market-implied outcomes. Historical August climatology for Milan peaks near 30–32°C, so current guidance reflects a modest positive anomaly driven by the synoptic setup. Updated model runs and official Italian meteorological service guidance over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$63Fecha de finalización
15 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range forecast models from European and global ensembles show Milan under a stable high-pressure ridge with clear skies, light southerly winds, and strong daytime insolation, supporting peak temperatures of 34–35°C on August 15. These conditions favor modest warming through boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention, while limited moisture and subsidence suppress cloud development that could otherwise cap the maximum. Ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short lead time, yet slight differences in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any weak trough passage could shift the outcome between the two leading market-implied outcomes. Historical August climatology for Milan peaks near 30–32°C, so current guidance reflects a modest positive anomaly driven by the synoptic setup. Updated model runs and official Italian meteorological service guidance over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes