Current ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models place Milan's peak temperature on August 24 near 27–29°C, driving the tight market clustering around 28°C and 29°C as the most probable outcomes. This reflects modest atmospheric stability and typical late-summer conditions in the Po Valley, with limited daytime heating from partial cloud cover and light winds. Recent runs show narrow uncertainty bands rather than strong model divergence, though small shifts in steering patterns or boundary-layer moisture could nudge the maximum by 1–2°C. Official high-resolution updates and station observations from Milan Linate will determine resolution, underscoring how prediction-market odds aggregate real-time scientific consensus on evolving short-range variables.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 24 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 24 de agosto?
28°C 36%
29°C 28%
30°C 12%
27°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
11%
28°C
36%
29°C
28%
30°C
12%
31°C or higher
2%
28°C 36%
29°C 28%
30°C 12%
27°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
21°C or below
$15 Vol.
1%
22°C
$15 Vol.
1%
23°C
$5 Vol.
1%
24°C
$55 Vol.
1%
25°C
$55 Vol.
1%
26°C
$30 Vol.
6%
27°C
$106 Vol.
11%
28°C
$150 Vol.
36%
29°C
$113 Vol.
28%
30°C
$16 Vol.
12%
31°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models place Milan's peak temperature on August 24 near 27–29°C, driving the tight market clustering around 28°C and 29°C as the most probable outcomes. This reflects modest atmospheric stability and typical late-summer conditions in the Po Valley, with limited daytime heating from partial cloud cover and light winds. Recent runs show narrow uncertainty bands rather than strong model divergence, though small shifts in steering patterns or boundary-layer moisture could nudge the maximum by 1–2°C. Official high-resolution updates and station observations from Milan Linate will determine resolution, underscoring how prediction-market odds aggregate real-time scientific consensus on evolving short-range variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Volumen
$565Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models place Milan's peak temperature on August 24 near 27–29°C, driving the tight market clustering around 28°C and 29°C as the most probable outcomes. This reflects modest atmospheric stability and typical late-summer conditions in the Po Valley, with limited daytime heating from partial cloud cover and light winds. Recent runs show narrow uncertainty bands rather than strong model divergence, though small shifts in steering patterns or boundary-layer moisture could nudge the maximum by 1–2°C. Official high-resolution updates and station observations from Milan Linate will determine resolution, underscoring how prediction-market odds aggregate real-time scientific consensus on evolving short-range variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$565Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models place Milan's peak temperature on August 24 near 27–29°C, driving the tight market clustering around 28°C and 29°C as the most probable outcomes. This reflects modest atmospheric stability and typical late-summer conditions in the Po Valley, with limited daytime heating from partial cloud cover and light winds. Recent runs show narrow uncertainty bands rather than strong model divergence, though small shifts in steering patterns or boundary-layer moisture could nudge the maximum by 1–2°C. Official high-resolution updates and station observations from Milan Linate will determine resolution, underscoring how prediction-market odds aggregate real-time scientific consensus on evolving short-range variables.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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