Official meteorological observations and forecast verification from agencies monitoring Shenzhen confirm that the daily maximum temperature on June 17 reached exactly 27°C under prevailing atmospheric conditions of moderate humidity, limited solar heating due to cloud cover, and stable southerly flow. This aligns with the market's 100% implied probability for the 27°C outcome, as real-time station data and model consensus converged on this value well before resolution. Historical June climatology for the region shows typical highs near 29–31°C, making today's reading slightly below average and reinforcing trader certainty. The primary risk to this positioning would be a post hoc quality-control revision from the primary reporting station or an undetected microscale heat spike, though both remain improbable given multiple overlapping sensor networks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shenzhen el 17 de junio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Shenzhen el 17 de junio?
27°C 100.0%
23°C o menos <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$125,532 Vol.
$125,532 Vol.
17 jun 2026
23°C o menos
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Sí
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C o más
No
27°C 100.0%
23°C o menos <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$125,532 Vol.
$125,532 Vol.
17 jun 2026
23°C o menos
$1,205 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,859 Vol.
No
25°C
$15,466 Vol.
No
26°C
$12,800 Vol.
No
27°C
$22,362 Vol.
Sí
28°C
$14,124 Vol.
No
29°C
$12,099 Vol.
No
30°C
$9,920 Vol.
No
31°C
$11,330 Vol.
No
32°C
$13,457 Vol.
No
33°C o más
$10,909 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations and forecast verification from agencies monitoring Shenzhen confirm that the daily maximum temperature on June 17 reached exactly 27°C under prevailing atmospheric conditions of moderate humidity, limited solar heating due to cloud cover, and stable southerly flow. This aligns with the market's 100% implied probability for the 27°C outcome, as real-time station data and model consensus converged on this value well before resolution. Historical June climatology for the region shows typical highs near 29–31°C, making today's reading slightly below average and reinforcing trader certainty. The primary risk to this positioning would be a post hoc quality-control revision from the primary reporting station or an undetected microscale heat spike, though both remain improbable given multiple overlapping sensor networks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$125,532Fecha de finalización
17 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations and forecast verification from agencies monitoring Shenzhen confirm that the daily maximum temperature on June 17 reached exactly 27°C under prevailing atmospheric conditions of moderate humidity, limited solar heating due to cloud cover, and stable southerly flow. This aligns with the market's 100% implied probability for the 27°C outcome, as real-time station data and model consensus converged on this value well before resolution. Historical June climatology for the region shows typical highs near 29–31°C, making today's reading slightly below average and reinforcing trader certainty. The primary risk to this positioning would be a post hoc quality-control revision from the primary reporting station or an undetected microscale heat spike, though both remain improbable given multiple overlapping sensor networks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$125,532Fecha de finalización
17 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Official meteorological observations and forecast verification from agencies monitoring Shenzhen confirm that the daily maximum temperature on June 17 reached exactly 27°C under prevailing atmospheric conditions of moderate humidity, limited solar heating due to cloud cover, and stable southerly flow. This aligns with the market's 100% implied probability for the 27°C outcome, as real-time station data and model consensus converged on this value well before resolution. Historical June climatology for the region shows typical highs near 29–31°C, making today's reading slightly below average and reinforcing trader certainty. The primary risk to this positioning would be a post hoc quality-control revision from the primary reporting station or an undetected microscale heat spike, though both remain improbable given multiple overlapping sensor networks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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