Recent forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS and ECMWF runs as of August 26, indicate peak temperatures in Tel Aviv on August 28 likely reaching 31–33°C under stable high-pressure conditions, westerly flow, and limited cloud cover, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 33°C. Typical late-summer Mediterranean patterns feature strong diurnal heating moderated by sea breezes, with historical August maxima averaging near 30–32°C; current guidance shows no significant heatwave or marine layer intrusion to push extremes higher or lower. Model spread remains modest, though slight differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind timing could shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Updated runs expected within 24 hours will refine resolution criteria for the official Israel Meteorological Service observation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 28 de agosto?
33°C 60%
32°C 21%
34°C 17%
31°C 3%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
21%
33°C
60%
34°C
17%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 60%
32°C 21%
34°C 17%
31°C 3%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
21%
33°C
60%
34°C
17%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS and ECMWF runs as of August 26, indicate peak temperatures in Tel Aviv on August 28 likely reaching 31–33°C under stable high-pressure conditions, westerly flow, and limited cloud cover, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 33°C. Typical late-summer Mediterranean patterns feature strong diurnal heating moderated by sea breezes, with historical August maxima averaging near 30–32°C; current guidance shows no significant heatwave or marine layer intrusion to push extremes higher or lower. Model spread remains modest, though slight differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind timing could shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Updated runs expected within 24 hours will refine resolution criteria for the official Israel Meteorological Service observation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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