Forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service equivalents and regional meteorological agencies converge on overnight lows near 25°C for Tel Aviv on August 28, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and typical late-summer radiative cooling under stable high pressure. This aligns with climatological norms of 24–26°C minima for the period, positioning 25°C as the market leader at 68.5% implied probability. Recent data show minimal model spread and no incoming cooler air masses or elevated humidity to enhance overnight drops, keeping 24°C and lower outcomes at combined under 50% while capping upside risks from any daytime heat retention. Updated short-range runs expected overnight will likely reinforce this consensus ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Tel Aviv el 28 de agosto?
25°C 54%
24°C 39%
26°C 36%
21°C 31%
19°C or below
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
31%
22°C
24%
23°C
21%
24°C
39%
25°C
54%
26°C
36%
27°C
5%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
26%
25°C 54%
24°C 39%
26°C 36%
21°C 31%
19°C or below
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
31%
22°C
24%
23°C
21%
24°C
39%
25°C
54%
26°C
36%
27°C
5%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
26%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service equivalents and regional meteorological agencies converge on overnight lows near 25°C for Tel Aviv on August 28, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and typical late-summer radiative cooling under stable high pressure. This aligns with climatological norms of 24–26°C minima for the period, positioning 25°C as the market leader at 68.5% implied probability. Recent data show minimal model spread and no incoming cooler air masses or elevated humidity to enhance overnight drops, keeping 24°C and lower outcomes at combined under 50% while capping upside risks from any daytime heat retention. Updated short-range runs expected overnight will likely reinforce this consensus ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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