Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS place Tel Aviv’s August 3 maximum near 33–34 °C, aligning with the market’s leading 34 °C (53.5 %) and 33 °C (25 %) outcomes. Persistent subtropical ridging over the eastern Mediterranean, combined with warm Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures and light synoptic flow, favors this range while onshore sea breezes limit further warming. Model consensus shows minimal spread for the date, with only modest potential for a 35 °C outlier under slightly stronger subsidence. No major heatwave signals have emerged in the latest runs, keeping probabilities for 36 °C and above below 2 %. Updated short-range guidance and any shifts in the 500 hPa height pattern will be the next key catalysts before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 3 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 3 de agosto?
34°C 54%
33°C 25%
35°C 19%
31°C or below 2%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 ago 2026
31°C or below
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
25%
34°C
54%
35°C
19%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 54%
33°C 25%
35°C 19%
31°C or below 2%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 ago 2026
31°C or below
$30 Vol.
2%
32°C
$115 Vol.
2%
33°C
$1,539 Vol.
25%
34°C
$207 Vol.
54%
35°C
$480 Vol.
19%
36°C
$105 Vol.
2%
37°C
$50 Vol.
2%
38°C
$101 Vol.
1%
39°C
$124 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$183 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$383 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS place Tel Aviv’s August 3 maximum near 33–34 °C, aligning with the market’s leading 34 °C (53.5 %) and 33 °C (25 %) outcomes. Persistent subtropical ridging over the eastern Mediterranean, combined with warm Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures and light synoptic flow, favors this range while onshore sea breezes limit further warming. Model consensus shows minimal spread for the date, with only modest potential for a 35 °C outlier under slightly stronger subsidence. No major heatwave signals have emerged in the latest runs, keeping probabilities for 36 °C and above below 2 %. Updated short-range guidance and any shifts in the 500 hPa height pattern will be the next key catalysts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$3,317Fecha de finalización
3 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS place Tel Aviv’s August 3 maximum near 33–34 °C, aligning with the market’s leading 34 °C (53.5 %) and 33 °C (25 %) outcomes. Persistent subtropical ridging over the eastern Mediterranean, combined with warm Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures and light synoptic flow, favors this range while onshore sea breezes limit further warming. Model consensus shows minimal spread for the date, with only modest potential for a 35 °C outlier under slightly stronger subsidence. No major heatwave signals have emerged in the latest runs, keeping probabilities for 36 °C and above below 2 %. Updated short-range guidance and any shifts in the 500 hPa height pattern will be the next key catalysts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,317Fecha de finalización
3 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS place Tel Aviv’s August 3 maximum near 33–34 °C, aligning with the market’s leading 34 °C (53.5 %) and 33 °C (25 %) outcomes. Persistent subtropical ridging over the eastern Mediterranean, combined with warm Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures and light synoptic flow, favors this range while onshore sea breezes limit further warming. Model consensus shows minimal spread for the date, with only modest potential for a 35 °C outlier under slightly stronger subsidence. No major heatwave signals have emerged in the latest runs, keeping probabilities for 36 °C and above below 2 %. Updated short-range guidance and any shifts in the 500 hPa height pattern will be the next key catalysts before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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