**Forecast models from sources including GFS, ECMWF, and the Israel Meteorological Service indicate a high of 29–30°C for Tel Aviv on September 18, 2026, driving the heavy market weighting toward those outcomes.** A cooling trend is underway after hotter conditions on September 17, with increased cloud cover, westerly winds, and a 25–75% chance of scattered showers or drizzle expected to limit daytime heating. Coastal sea breezes from the Mediterranean will further moderate peak temperatures, keeping readings near or slightly below the late-September climatological average of roughly 29–30°C. Model consensus shows afternoon maxima clustering around 29°C, with limited upside risk to 31°C if showers remain light or delayed; downside to 28°C or lower appears unlikely given current guidance. Traders are pricing in this narrow range based on the latest runs, with resolution depending on the official highest recorded value at the primary Tel Aviv station. Updated forecasts and any model shifts in the final 24 hours will be key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 18 de septiembre?
31°C 56%
30°C 40%
29°C 4%
32°C 4%
$11,108 Vol.
$11,108 Vol.
27°C o menos
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
40%
31°C
56%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C o más
<1%
31°C 56%
30°C 40%
29°C 4%
32°C 4%
$11,108 Vol.
$11,108 Vol.
27°C o menos
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
40%
31°C
56%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including GFS, ECMWF, and the Israel Meteorological Service indicate a high of 29–30°C for Tel Aviv on September 18, 2026, driving the heavy market weighting toward those outcomes.** A cooling trend is underway after hotter conditions on September 17, with increased cloud cover, westerly winds, and a 25–75% chance of scattered showers or drizzle expected to limit daytime heating. Coastal sea breezes from the Mediterranean will further moderate peak temperatures, keeping readings near or slightly below the late-September climatological average of roughly 29–30°C. Model consensus shows afternoon maxima clustering around 29°C, with limited upside risk to 31°C if showers remain light or delayed; downside to 28°C or lower appears unlikely given current guidance. Traders are pricing in this narrow range based on the latest runs, with resolution depending on the official highest recorded value at the primary Tel Aviv station. Updated forecasts and any model shifts in the final 24 hours will be key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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