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Geopolítica·Huelgas

¿Acción militar de Israel contra la instalación nuclear de Fordow por...?

Market icon
Geopolítica·Huelgas

¿Acción militar de Israel contra la instalación nuclear de Fordow por...?

$255,157 Vol.

30 abr 2026
Polymarket

$255,157 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de abril

$112,844 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market. Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid escalating US-Israel strikes on Iranian nuclear sites like Natanz, Isfahan, and Bushehr since late February 2026, the deeply buried Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant near Qom remains untouched, reflecting technical challenges from its 80-meter fortifications that demand specialized bunker-buster munitions such as US GBU-57s. Recent IDF approvals for further Iran operations and requests for American B-2 bomber support signal potential action, but trader consensus prices low probabilities amid radiation risks, pending Washington coordination under Trump, and Iranian retaliation threats including cluster munitions on Israeli cities. Upcoming diplomatic deadlines on Strait of Hormuz access and energy infrastructure targets could tip escalation dynamics before late April resolution windows.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.

Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$255,157
Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 4:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market. Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market. Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid escalating US-Israel strikes on Iranian nuclear sites like Natanz, Isfahan, and Bushehr since late February 2026, the deeply buried Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant near Qom remains untouched, reflecting technical challenges from its 80-meter fortifications that demand specialized bunker-buster munitions such as US GBU-57s. Recent IDF approvals for further Iran operations and requests for American B-2 bomber support signal potential action, but trader consensus prices low probabilities amid radiation risks, pending Washington coordination under Trump, and Iranian retaliation threats including cluster munitions on Israeli cities. Upcoming diplomatic deadlines on Strait of Hormuz access and energy infrastructure targets could tip escalation dynamics before late April resolution windows.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.

Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$255,157
Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 4:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market. Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Acción militar de Israel contra la instalación nuclear de Fordow por...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "30 de abril" con 4%, seguido de "15 de abril" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 4¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 4% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Acción militar de Israel contra la instalación nuclear de Fordow por...?" ha generado $255.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 24, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Acción militar de Israel contra la instalación nuclear de Fordow por...?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "¿Acción militar de Israel contra la instalación nuclear de Fordow por...?" es "30 de abril" con solo 4%, con "15 de abril" muy cerca con 0%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Acción militar de Israel contra la instalación nuclear de Fordow por...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.