Ongoing US-Israel airstrikes against Iranian military targets, including recent IDF operations in Tehran and tunnel networks as of early April, have defined the conflict since its escalation on February 28, sustaining trader focus on potential further Israeli military action amid a fragile ceasefire. Diplomatic efforts intensified in the past 48 hours, with Pakistan's army chief meeting Iran's foreign minister in Tehran on April 16 to ease Middle East tensions, while Israel anticipates ceasefire extension but disputes persist over Hezbollah funding and Lebanese border enforcement. US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz continues, prompting Iranian threats of retaliation, as Netanyahu's security cabinet weighs Lebanon ceasefire terms that could avert or trigger renewed direct strikes on Iran before any resolution deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Acción militar de Israel contra Irán por...?
¿Acción militar de Israel contra Irán por...?
$1,642,464 Vol.
21 abr 2026
14 de abril
<1%
21 de abril
9%
$1,642,464 Vol.
14 de abril
$1,171,686 Vol.
<1%
21 de abril
$472,778 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil between market creation and the listed date in Israel Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Iran counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Ongoing US-Israel airstrikes against Iranian military targets, including recent IDF operations in Tehran and tunnel networks as of early April, have defined the conflict since its escalation on February 28, sustaining trader focus on potential further Israeli military action amid a fragile ceasefire. Diplomatic efforts intensified in the past 48 hours, with Pakistan's army chief meeting Iran's foreign minister in Tehran on April 16 to ease Middle East tensions, while Israel anticipates ceasefire extension but disputes persist over Hezbollah funding and Lebanese border enforcement. US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz continues, prompting Iranian threats of retaliation, as Netanyahu's security cabinet weighs Lebanon ceasefire terms that could avert or trigger renewed direct strikes on Iran before any resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil between market creation and the listed date in Israel Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Iran counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Iran counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Mercado abierto: Apr 8, 2026, 11:35 AM ET
Volumen
$1,642,464Fecha de finalización
21 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 11:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil between market creation and the listed date in Israel Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Iran counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Ongoing US-Israel airstrikes against Iranian military targets, including recent IDF operations in Tehran and tunnel networks as of early April, have defined the conflict since its escalation on February 28, sustaining trader focus on potential further Israeli military action amid a fragile ceasefire. Diplomatic efforts intensified in the past 48 hours, with Pakistan's army chief meeting Iran's foreign minister in Tehran on April 16 to ease Middle East tensions, while Israel anticipates ceasefire extension but disputes persist over Hezbollah funding and Lebanese border enforcement. US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz continues, prompting Iranian threats of retaliation, as Netanyahu's security cabinet weighs Lebanon ceasefire terms that could avert or trigger renewed direct strikes on Iran before any resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil between market creation and the listed date in Israel Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Iran counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Iran counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volumen
$1,642,464Fecha de finalización
21 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 11:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Israel airstrikes against Iranian military targets, including recent IDF operations in Tehran and tunnel networks as of early April, have defined the conflict since its escalation on February 28, sustaining trader focus on potential further Israeli military action amid a fragile ceasefire. Diplomatic efforts intensified in the past 48 hours, with Pakistan's army chief meeting Iran's foreign minister in Tehran on April 16 to ease Middle East tensions, while Israel anticipates ceasefire extension but disputes persist over Hezbollah funding and Lebanese border enforcement. US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz continues, prompting Iranian threats of retaliation, as Netanyahu's security cabinet weighs Lebanon ceasefire terms that could avert or trigger renewed direct strikes on Iran before any resolution deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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