Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis escalated regional tensions by launching their first ballistic missile and drone attacks on Israel since the US-Israel war against Iran began on February 28, 2026, with strikes on March 28, followed by additional barrages on March 29, April 1, 2, and 4 targeting southern Israeli military sites and infrastructure like Ben Gurion Airport. Israel's aerial defenses intercepted all threats with no casualties or damage reported, prompting statements of impending response while consulting Washington. No Israeli airstrikes on Houthi targets in Yemen have materialized in the past 30 days, amid a nine-day lull in Houthi launches as of April 15 signaling possible de-escalation. Traders monitor diplomatic talks, potential coalition retaliation from Yemen bases, and Houthi threats of gradual escalation for shifts in military action probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Acción militar de Israel contra Yemen por...?
¿Acción militar de Israel contra Yemen por...?
$1,595,708 Vol.
30 jun 2026
15 de abril
1%
30 de abril
21%
31 de mayo
29%
30 de junio
28%
$1,595,708 Vol.
15 de abril
$203,988 Vol.
1%
30 de abril
$190,216 Vol.
21%
31 de mayo
$76,276 Vol.
29%
30 de junio
$435,286 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis escalated regional tensions by launching their first ballistic missile and drone attacks on Israel since the US-Israel war against Iran began on February 28, 2026, with strikes on March 28, followed by additional barrages on March 29, April 1, 2, and 4 targeting southern Israeli military sites and infrastructure like Ben Gurion Airport. Israel's aerial defenses intercepted all threats with no casualties or damage reported, prompting statements of impending response while consulting Washington. No Israeli airstrikes on Houthi targets in Yemen have materialized in the past 30 days, amid a nine-day lull in Houthi launches as of April 15 signaling possible de-escalation. Traders monitor diplomatic talks, potential coalition retaliation from Yemen bases, and Houthi threats of gradual escalation for shifts in military action probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jan 6, 2026, 11:51 AM ET
Volumen
$1,595,708Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 6, 2026, 11:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis escalated regional tensions by launching their first ballistic missile and drone attacks on Israel since the US-Israel war against Iran began on February 28, 2026, with strikes on March 28, followed by additional barrages on March 29, April 1, 2, and 4 targeting southern Israeli military sites and infrastructure like Ben Gurion Airport. Israel's aerial defenses intercepted all threats with no casualties or damage reported, prompting statements of impending response while consulting Washington. No Israeli airstrikes on Houthi targets in Yemen have materialized in the past 30 days, amid a nine-day lull in Houthi launches as of April 15 signaling possible de-escalation. Traders monitor diplomatic talks, potential coalition retaliation from Yemen bases, and Houthi threats of gradual escalation for shifts in military action probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,595,708Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 6, 2026, 11:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis escalated regional tensions by launching their first ballistic missile and drone attacks on Israel since the US-Israel war against Iran began on February 28, 2026, with strikes on March 28, followed by additional barrages on March 29, April 1, 2, and 4 targeting southern Israeli military sites and infrastructure like Ben Gurion Airport. Israel's aerial defenses intercepted all threats with no casualties or damage reported, prompting statements of impending response while consulting Washington. No Israeli airstrikes on Houthi targets in Yemen have materialized in the past 30 days, amid a nine-day lull in Houthi launches as of April 15 signaling possible de-escalation. Traders monitor diplomatic talks, potential coalition retaliation from Yemen bases, and Houthi threats of gradual escalation for shifts in military action probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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