**Post-polling surveys and high voter turnout on April 9 have solidified a razor-thin contest for Kerala's 140-seat Legislative Assembly, positioning CPI(M)-led LDF at 54.5% trader consensus for victory over INC-led UDF at 44.5%, with NDA and others negligible.** Recent pre-poll opinion polls from Manorama-C Voter, Matrize-IANS, and others projected overlapping seat ranges of 58-71 for both fronts, reflecting LDF's northern strongholds and welfare schemes offsetting anti-incumbency from state debt and governance critiques, while UDF capitalized on 2024 Lok Sabha gains among Christians and youth. No major post-voting disruptions reported; results counting set for May 4 will resolve the market, where small swings in 20 pivotal seats like Nemom and Thrissur could tip the balance toward a minority government or coalition negotiations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Legislativa de Kerala
Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Legislativa de Kerala
CPI(M) 54%
INC 45%
BSP <1%
CPI <1%
$280,262 Vol.
$280,262 Vol.
9 abr 2026
CPI(M)
54%
INC
45%
BSP
<1%
CPI
<1%
JD(S)
<1%
RSP
<1%
KEC(M)
<1%
BJP
<1%
NCP
<1%
IUML
<1%
CPI(M) 54%
INC 45%
BSP <1%
CPI <1%
$280,262 Vol.
$280,262 Vol.
9 abr 2026
CPI(M)
$35,262 Vol.
54%
INC
$34,767 Vol.
45%
BSP
$12,297 Vol.
<1%
CPI
$28,084 Vol.
<1%
JD(S)
$24,403 Vol.
<1%
RSP
$13,090 Vol.
<1%
KEC(M)
$13,613 Vol.
<1%
BJP
$57,830 Vol.
<1%
NCP
$45,976 Vol.
<1%
IUML
$14,939 Vol.
<1%
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).**Post-polling surveys and high voter turnout on April 9 have solidified a razor-thin contest for Kerala's 140-seat Legislative Assembly, positioning CPI(M)-led LDF at 54.5% trader consensus for victory over INC-led UDF at 44.5%, with NDA and others negligible.** Recent pre-poll opinion polls from Manorama-C Voter, Matrize-IANS, and others projected overlapping seat ranges of 58-71 for both fronts, reflecting LDF's northern strongholds and welfare schemes offsetting anti-incumbency from state debt and governance critiques, while UDF capitalized on 2024 Lok Sabha gains among Christians and youth. No major post-voting disruptions reported; results counting set for May 4 will resolve the market, where small swings in 20 pivotal seats like Nemom and Thrissur could tip the balance toward a minority government or coalition negotiations.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Mercado abierto: Dec 23, 2025, 4:01 PM ET
Volumen
$280,262Fecha de finalización
9 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).**Post-polling surveys and high voter turnout on April 9 have solidified a razor-thin contest for Kerala's 140-seat Legislative Assembly, positioning CPI(M)-led LDF at 54.5% trader consensus for victory over INC-led UDF at 44.5%, with NDA and others negligible.** Recent pre-poll opinion polls from Manorama-C Voter, Matrize-IANS, and others projected overlapping seat ranges of 58-71 for both fronts, reflecting LDF's northern strongholds and welfare schemes offsetting anti-incumbency from state debt and governance critiques, while UDF capitalized on 2024 Lok Sabha gains among Christians and youth. No major post-voting disruptions reported; results counting set for May 4 will resolve the market, where small swings in 20 pivotal seats like Nemom and Thrissur could tip the balance toward a minority government or coalition negotiations.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Volumen
$280,262Fecha de finalización
9 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Post-polling surveys and high voter turnout on April 9 have solidified a razor-thin contest for Kerala's 140-seat Legislative Assembly, positioning CPI(M)-led LDF at 54.5% trader consensus for victory over INC-led UDF at 44.5%, with NDA and others negligible.** Recent pre-poll opinion polls from Manorama-C Voter, Matrize-IANS, and others projected overlapping seat ranges of 58-71 for both fronts, reflecting LDF's northern strongholds and welfare schemes offsetting anti-incumbency from state debt and governance critiques, while UDF capitalized on 2024 Lok Sabha gains among Christians and youth. No major post-voting disruptions reported; results counting set for May 4 will resolve the market, where small swings in 20 pivotal seats like Nemom and Thrissur could tip the balance toward a minority government or coalition negotiations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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