Recent forecasts indicate overnight lows near 14–16°C in Amsterdam on August 28, consistent with the tightly clustered market probabilities around those values. A warm spell peaking Thursday is expected to yield to cooler maritime air and increased cloud cover or showers by Friday night, limiting radiative cooling and keeping minimum temperatures above the long-term late-August average of roughly 12.6°C at Schiphol. Key variables include the exact timing of any frontal passage, wind speeds that could enhance mixing, and model consensus on dew points near 11–14°C, which together create the narrow spread between 14°C and 17°C outcomes. Updated KNMI and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Ámsterdam el 28 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más baja en Ámsterdam el 28 de agosto?
15°C 46%
16°C 46%
17°C 46%
14°C 45%
NUEVO
NUEVO
28 ago 2026
12°C or below
3%
13°C
43%
14°C
45%
15°C
46%
16°C
46%
17°C
46%
18°C
45%
19°C
45%
20°C
8%
21°C
17%
22°C or higher
2%
15°C 46%
16°C 46%
17°C 46%
14°C 45%
NUEVO
NUEVO
28 ago 2026
12°C or below
$27 Vol.
3%
13°C
$10 Vol.
43%
14°C
$0 Vol.
45%
15°C
$0 Vol.
46%
16°C
$0 Vol.
46%
17°C
$0 Vol.
46%
18°C
$0 Vol.
45%
19°C
$0 Vol.
45%
20°C
$0 Vol.
8%
21°C
$10 Vol.
17%
22°C or higher
$27 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate overnight lows near 14–16°C in Amsterdam on August 28, consistent with the tightly clustered market probabilities around those values. A warm spell peaking Thursday is expected to yield to cooler maritime air and increased cloud cover or showers by Friday night, limiting radiative cooling and keeping minimum temperatures above the long-term late-August average of roughly 12.6°C at Schiphol. Key variables include the exact timing of any frontal passage, wind speeds that could enhance mixing, and model consensus on dew points near 11–14°C, which together create the narrow spread between 14°C and 17°C outcomes. Updated KNMI and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$75Fecha de finalización
28 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate overnight lows near 14–16°C in Amsterdam on August 28, consistent with the tightly clustered market probabilities around those values. A warm spell peaking Thursday is expected to yield to cooler maritime air and increased cloud cover or showers by Friday night, limiting radiative cooling and keeping minimum temperatures above the long-term late-August average of roughly 12.6°C at Schiphol. Key variables include the exact timing of any frontal passage, wind speeds that could enhance mixing, and model consensus on dew points near 11–14°C, which together create the narrow spread between 14°C and 17°C outcomes. Updated KNMI and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$75Fecha de finalización
28 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts indicate overnight lows near 14–16°C in Amsterdam on August 28, consistent with the tightly clustered market probabilities around those values. A warm spell peaking Thursday is expected to yield to cooler maritime air and increased cloud cover or showers by Friday night, limiting radiative cooling and keeping minimum temperatures above the long-term late-August average of roughly 12.6°C at Schiphol. Key variables include the exact timing of any frontal passage, wind speeds that could enhance mixing, and model consensus on dew points near 11–14°C, which together create the narrow spread between 14°C and 17°C outcomes. Updated KNMI and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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