Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office, GFS, and European centers indicate a mild maritime airflow from the southwest over Amsterdam on August 30, with persistent cloud cover, showers, and winds of 12–17 mph limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup supports minimum temperatures most likely in the 16–18°C range, aligning with trader consensus across the tightly bunched leading outcomes. Dew points near 15–17°C and high humidity further constrain overnight drops, consistent with late-summer climatology where average lows hover around 12–15°C but recent unsettled conditions have kept readings elevated. Updated model runs through the weekend remain the key variable ahead of final resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Ámsterdam el 30 de agosto?
17°C 29%
18°C 28%
16°C 27%
15°C 19%
13°C or below
10%
14°C
15%
15°C
19%
16°C
27%
17°C
29%
18°C
28%
19°C
17%
20°C
2%
21°C
8%
22°C
8%
23°C or higher
11%
17°C 29%
18°C 28%
16°C 27%
15°C 19%
13°C or below
10%
14°C
15%
15°C
19%
16°C
27%
17°C
29%
18°C
28%
19°C
17%
20°C
2%
21°C
8%
22°C
8%
23°C or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office, GFS, and European centers indicate a mild maritime airflow from the southwest over Amsterdam on August 30, with persistent cloud cover, showers, and winds of 12–17 mph limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup supports minimum temperatures most likely in the 16–18°C range, aligning with trader consensus across the tightly bunched leading outcomes. Dew points near 15–17°C and high humidity further constrain overnight drops, consistent with late-summer climatology where average lows hover around 12–15°C but recent unsettled conditions have kept readings elevated. Updated model runs through the weekend remain the key variable ahead of final resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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