Latest ensemble forecasts from major models place Ankara's overnight minimum on August 22 near 15–17 °C, the range capturing the bulk of market-implied probability, as clear skies promote strong nocturnal radiative cooling over the Anatolian plateau while light easterly flow limits warm-air advection. Typical August diurnal ranges of 15–18 °C, driven by high insolation and low humidity, set the climatological baseline, yet small differences in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. With outcomes tightly clustered, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and historical analogs that show minimal day-to-day variability this late in the season.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Ankara el 22 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Ankara el 22 de agosto?
15°C 36%
16°C 36%
17°C 26%
13°C 21%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 ago 2026
12°C or below
3%
13°C
21%
14°C
12%
15°C
36%
16°C
36%
17°C
26%
18°C
23%
19°C
7%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
1%
15°C 36%
16°C 36%
17°C 26%
13°C 21%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 ago 2026
12°C or below
$105 Vol.
3%
13°C
$0 Vol.
21%
14°C
$15 Vol.
12%
15°C
$1 Vol.
36%
16°C
$16 Vol.
36%
17°C
$0 Vol.
26%
18°C
$8 Vol.
23%
19°C
$50 Vol.
7%
20°C
$21 Vol.
2%
21°C
$15 Vol.
1%
22°C or higher
$58 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from major models place Ankara's overnight minimum on August 22 near 15–17 °C, the range capturing the bulk of market-implied probability, as clear skies promote strong nocturnal radiative cooling over the Anatolian plateau while light easterly flow limits warm-air advection. Typical August diurnal ranges of 15–18 °C, driven by high insolation and low humidity, set the climatological baseline, yet small differences in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. With outcomes tightly clustered, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and historical analogs that show minimal day-to-day variability this late in the season.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Volumen
$290Fecha de finalización
22 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from major models place Ankara's overnight minimum on August 22 near 15–17 °C, the range capturing the bulk of market-implied probability, as clear skies promote strong nocturnal radiative cooling over the Anatolian plateau while light easterly flow limits warm-air advection. Typical August diurnal ranges of 15–18 °C, driven by high insolation and low humidity, set the climatological baseline, yet small differences in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. With outcomes tightly clustered, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and historical analogs that show minimal day-to-day variability this late in the season.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$290Fecha de finalización
22 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from major models place Ankara's overnight minimum on August 22 near 15–17 °C, the range capturing the bulk of market-implied probability, as clear skies promote strong nocturnal radiative cooling over the Anatolian plateau while light easterly flow limits warm-air advection. Typical August diurnal ranges of 15–18 °C, driven by high insolation and low humidity, set the climatological baseline, yet small differences in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. With outcomes tightly clustered, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and historical analogs that show minimal day-to-day variability this late in the season.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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