Official NWS forecasts and numerical model consensus for Austin point to an overnight low in the mid to upper 70s on August 28, consistent with typical late-summer radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds. These conditions align with the market's close clustering around the 72–79°F bins, as modest differences in dewpoint forecasts, cloud cover, and boundary-layer mixing can shift the minimum by a few degrees. Historical August lows average near 75°F, providing a climatological baseline traders weigh against current guidance. The elevated probability on 69°F or below reflects residual uncertainty in model spread and potential for greater cooling if skies clear more than expected, though consensus favors the warmer side of the distribution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Austin el 28 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más baja en Austin el 28 de agosto?
69°F or below 36%
74-75°F 27%
72-73°F 27%
76-77°F 26%
NUEVO
NUEVO
28 ago 2026
69°F or below
36%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
10%
86-87°F
9%
88°F or higher
7%
69°F or below 36%
74-75°F 27%
72-73°F 27%
76-77°F 26%
NUEVO
NUEVO
28 ago 2026
69°F or below
$0 Vol.
36%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
26%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
27%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
27%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
26%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
25%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
25%
82-83°F
$5 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$5 Vol.
10%
86-87°F
$5 Vol.
9%
88°F or higher
$5 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official NWS forecasts and numerical model consensus for Austin point to an overnight low in the mid to upper 70s on August 28, consistent with typical late-summer radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds. These conditions align with the market's close clustering around the 72–79°F bins, as modest differences in dewpoint forecasts, cloud cover, and boundary-layer mixing can shift the minimum by a few degrees. Historical August lows average near 75°F, providing a climatological baseline traders weigh against current guidance. The elevated probability on 69°F or below reflects residual uncertainty in model spread and potential for greater cooling if skies clear more than expected, though consensus favors the warmer side of the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volumen
$20Fecha de finalización
28 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official NWS forecasts and numerical model consensus for Austin point to an overnight low in the mid to upper 70s on August 28, consistent with typical late-summer radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds. These conditions align with the market's close clustering around the 72–79°F bins, as modest differences in dewpoint forecasts, cloud cover, and boundary-layer mixing can shift the minimum by a few degrees. Historical August lows average near 75°F, providing a climatological baseline traders weigh against current guidance. The elevated probability on 69°F or below reflects residual uncertainty in model spread and potential for greater cooling if skies clear more than expected, though consensus favors the warmer side of the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$20Fecha de finalización
28 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official NWS forecasts and numerical model consensus for Austin point to an overnight low in the mid to upper 70s on August 28, consistent with typical late-summer radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds. These conditions align with the market's close clustering around the 72–79°F bins, as modest differences in dewpoint forecasts, cloud cover, and boundary-layer mixing can shift the minimum by a few degrees. Historical August lows average near 75°F, providing a climatological baseline traders weigh against current guidance. The elevated probability on 69°F or below reflects residual uncertainty in model spread and potential for greater cooling if skies clear more than expected, though consensus favors the warmer side of the distribution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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