Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to overnight lows of 75–79°F for Austin on August 26 amid persistent high pressure and a heat advisory, yet trader consensus assigns 50% implied probability to 71°F or below. This positioning likely reflects model spread around potential overnight cooling from increased cloud cover, scattered showers, or weak steering flow that could enhance radiational cooling or bring slightly drier air behind any disturbance. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 75°F with rare drops below 70°F, so the market appears to weigh uncertainty in short-range guidance and any last-minute forecast revisions from NOAA or local offices. Upcoming model runs and evening observations will clarify whether surface winds and humidity trends support the cooler tail or reinforce mid-70s readings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Austin el 26 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Austin el 26 de agosto?
82-83°F 49%
71°F or below 48%
90°F or higher 28%
74-75°F 26%
NUEVO
NUEVO
26 ago 2026
71°F or below
48%
72-73°F
25%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
49%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
17%
88-89°F
4%
90°F or higher
28%
82-83°F 49%
71°F or below 48%
90°F or higher 28%
74-75°F 26%
NUEVO
NUEVO
26 ago 2026
71°F or below
$0 Vol.
48%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
25%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
26%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
26%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
25%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
25%
82-83°F
$5 Vol.
49%
84-85°F
$5 Vol.
2%
86-87°F
$5 Vol.
17%
88-89°F
$5 Vol.
4%
90°F or higher
$5 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to overnight lows of 75–79°F for Austin on August 26 amid persistent high pressure and a heat advisory, yet trader consensus assigns 50% implied probability to 71°F or below. This positioning likely reflects model spread around potential overnight cooling from increased cloud cover, scattered showers, or weak steering flow that could enhance radiational cooling or bring slightly drier air behind any disturbance. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 75°F with rare drops below 70°F, so the market appears to weigh uncertainty in short-range guidance and any last-minute forecast revisions from NOAA or local offices. Upcoming model runs and evening observations will clarify whether surface winds and humidity trends support the cooler tail or reinforce mid-70s readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volumen
$25Fecha de finalización
26 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to overnight lows of 75–79°F for Austin on August 26 amid persistent high pressure and a heat advisory, yet trader consensus assigns 50% implied probability to 71°F or below. This positioning likely reflects model spread around potential overnight cooling from increased cloud cover, scattered showers, or weak steering flow that could enhance radiational cooling or bring slightly drier air behind any disturbance. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 75°F with rare drops below 70°F, so the market appears to weigh uncertainty in short-range guidance and any last-minute forecast revisions from NOAA or local offices. Upcoming model runs and evening observations will clarify whether surface winds and humidity trends support the cooler tail or reinforce mid-70s readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$25Fecha de finalización
26 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to overnight lows of 75–79°F for Austin on August 26 amid persistent high pressure and a heat advisory, yet trader consensus assigns 50% implied probability to 71°F or below. This positioning likely reflects model spread around potential overnight cooling from increased cloud cover, scattered showers, or weak steering flow that could enhance radiational cooling or bring slightly drier air behind any disturbance. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 75°F with rare drops below 70°F, so the market appears to weigh uncertainty in short-range guidance and any last-minute forecast revisions from NOAA or local offices. Upcoming model runs and evening observations will clarify whether surface winds and humidity trends support the cooler tail or reinforce mid-70s readings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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