**Official observations from São Paulo’s primary meteorological station recorded a minimum temperature of 16°C on August 26, 2026, aligning precisely with pre-event forecast consensus and driving the near-certain 99.6% market-implied probability.** Mild winter conditions prevailed with light northerly winds, moderate humidity, and no significant cold-air advection or frontal passage that would typically lower overnight temperatures below seasonal norms of 12–16°C. Multiple model runs and station reports converged on this value, with hourly data showing the lowest readings clustered near 16°C during pre-dawn hours. Realistic challenges remain limited to rare post-event data revisions by INMET or station-specific discrepancies, though current verification supports the recorded minimum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Sao Paulo el 26 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Sao Paulo el 26 de agosto?
16°C 100.0%
10°C o menos <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$2,726 Vol.
$2,726 Vol.
26 ago 2026
10°C o menos
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Sí
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C o más
No
16°C 100.0%
10°C o menos <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$2,726 Vol.
$2,726 Vol.
26 ago 2026
10°C o menos
$736 Vol.
No
11°C
$40 Vol.
No
12°C
$99 Vol.
No
13°C
$118 Vol.
No
14°C
$141 Vol.
No
15°C
$79 Vol.
No
16°C
$1,105 Vol.
Sí
17°C
$242 Vol.
No
18°C
$72 Vol.
No
19°C
$50 Vol.
No
20°C o más
$45 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official observations from São Paulo’s primary meteorological station recorded a minimum temperature of 16°C on August 26, 2026, aligning precisely with pre-event forecast consensus and driving the near-certain 99.6% market-implied probability.**
Mild winter conditions prevailed with light northerly winds, moderate humidity, and no significant cold-air advection or frontal passage that would typically lower overnight temperatures below seasonal norms of 12–16°C. Multiple model runs and station reports converged on this value, with hourly data showing the lowest readings clustered near 16°C during pre-dawn hours.
Realistic challenges remain limited to rare post-event data revisions by INMET or station-specific discrepancies, though current verification supports the recorded minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volumen
$2,726Fecha de finalización
26 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official observations from São Paulo’s primary meteorological station recorded a minimum temperature of 16°C on August 26, 2026, aligning precisely with pre-event forecast consensus and driving the near-certain 99.6% market-implied probability.**
Mild winter conditions prevailed with light northerly winds, moderate humidity, and no significant cold-air advection or frontal passage that would typically lower overnight temperatures below seasonal norms of 12–16°C. Multiple model runs and station reports converged on this value, with hourly data showing the lowest readings clustered near 16°C during pre-dawn hours.
Realistic challenges remain limited to rare post-event data revisions by INMET or station-specific discrepancies, though current verification supports the recorded minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,726Fecha de finalización
26 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
**Official observations from São Paulo’s primary meteorological station recorded a minimum temperature of 16°C on August 26, 2026, aligning precisely with pre-event forecast consensus and driving the near-certain 99.6% market-implied probability.** Mild winter conditions prevailed with light northerly winds, moderate humidity, and no significant cold-air advection or frontal passage that would typically lower overnight temperatures below seasonal norms of 12–16°C. Multiple model runs and station reports converged on this value, with hourly data showing the lowest readings clustered near 16°C during pre-dawn hours. Realistic challenges remain limited to rare post-event data revisions by INMET or station-specific discrepancies, though current verification supports the recorded minimum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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