Current forecast consensus from sources like AccuWeather and independent models indicates an overnight low near 68°F for New York City on August 26, 2026, driven by typical late-August radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds and dew points in the mid-60s. This aligns with the market's tight clustering on 64-69°F bins, reflecting historical Central Park averages of 67°F and recent observations showing minimal deviation from seasonal norms despite a broader warmer-than-average monthly trend. No major cold fronts or significant model shifts have emerged in the latest runs to push probabilities lower, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind could adjust the final minimum by a degree or two before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 26 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 26 de agosto?
66-67°F 41%
64-65°F 30%
68-69°F 30%
62-63°F 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
26 ago 2026
55°F o menos
1%
56-57°F
3%
58-59°F
3%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
10%
64-65°F
30%
66-67°F
41%
68-69°F
30%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
4%
74°F o más
2%
66-67°F 41%
64-65°F 30%
68-69°F 30%
62-63°F 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
26 ago 2026
55°F o menos
$5 Vol.
1%
56-57°F
$10 Vol.
3%
58-59°F
$10 Vol.
3%
60-61°F
$5 Vol.
4%
62-63°F
$21 Vol.
10%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
30%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
41%
68-69°F
$151 Vol.
30%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
6%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
4%
74°F o más
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from sources like AccuWeather and independent models indicates an overnight low near 68°F for New York City on August 26, 2026, driven by typical late-August radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds and dew points in the mid-60s. This aligns with the market's tight clustering on 64-69°F bins, reflecting historical Central Park averages of 67°F and recent observations showing minimal deviation from seasonal norms despite a broader warmer-than-average monthly trend. No major cold fronts or significant model shifts have emerged in the latest runs to push probabilities lower, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind could adjust the final minimum by a degree or two before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volumen
$207Fecha de finalización
26 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from sources like AccuWeather and independent models indicates an overnight low near 68°F for New York City on August 26, 2026, driven by typical late-August radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds and dew points in the mid-60s. This aligns with the market's tight clustering on 64-69°F bins, reflecting historical Central Park averages of 67°F and recent observations showing minimal deviation from seasonal norms despite a broader warmer-than-average monthly trend. No major cold fronts or significant model shifts have emerged in the latest runs to push probabilities lower, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind could adjust the final minimum by a degree or two before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$207Fecha de finalización
26 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from sources like AccuWeather and independent models indicates an overnight low near 68°F for New York City on August 26, 2026, driven by typical late-August radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds and dew points in the mid-60s. This aligns with the market's tight clustering on 64-69°F bins, reflecting historical Central Park averages of 67°F and recent observations showing minimal deviation from seasonal norms despite a broader warmer-than-average monthly trend. No major cold fronts or significant model shifts have emerged in the latest runs to push probabilities lower, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind could adjust the final minimum by a degree or two before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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