Trader consensus has coalesced around an implied 100% probability for a lowest temperature of 78–79°F in Miami on August 26, reflecting the strong alignment between climatological norms and observed conditions. Official National Weather Service data from Miami International Airport recorded a daily minimum of 77°F amid typical late-summer subtropical patterns, with average August lows near 77.6°F driven by persistent maritime tropical air, high dew points near 75°F, and minimal nocturnal radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Model consensus and historical analogs from the past decade show little deviation from this range absent a rare cold front or anomalous northerly flow, both absent in recent monitoring. Resolution hinges on verified station readings, with only an unexpected measurement revision or localized microclimate effect realistically able to shift the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Miami el 26 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Miami el 26 de agosto?
78-79°F 100.0%
67°F o menos <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$11,773 Vol.
$11,773 Vol.
26 ago 2026
67°F o menos
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Sí
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F o más
No
78-79°F 100.0%
67°F o menos <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$11,773 Vol.
$11,773 Vol.
26 ago 2026
67°F o menos
$1,329 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$771 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$1,108 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$526 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$1,934 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$1,191 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$1,074 Vol.
Sí
80-81°F
$2,184 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$1,126 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$235 Vol.
No
86°F o más
$295 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has coalesced around an implied 100% probability for a lowest temperature of 78–79°F in Miami on August 26, reflecting the strong alignment between climatological norms and observed conditions. Official National Weather Service data from Miami International Airport recorded a daily minimum of 77°F amid typical late-summer subtropical patterns, with average August lows near 77.6°F driven by persistent maritime tropical air, high dew points near 75°F, and minimal nocturnal radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Model consensus and historical analogs from the past decade show little deviation from this range absent a rare cold front or anomalous northerly flow, both absent in recent monitoring. Resolution hinges on verified station readings, with only an unexpected measurement revision or localized microclimate effect realistically able to shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volumen
$11,773Fecha de finalización
26 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has coalesced around an implied 100% probability for a lowest temperature of 78–79°F in Miami on August 26, reflecting the strong alignment between climatological norms and observed conditions. Official National Weather Service data from Miami International Airport recorded a daily minimum of 77°F amid typical late-summer subtropical patterns, with average August lows near 77.6°F driven by persistent maritime tropical air, high dew points near 75°F, and minimal nocturnal radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Model consensus and historical analogs from the past decade show little deviation from this range absent a rare cold front or anomalous northerly flow, both absent in recent monitoring. Resolution hinges on verified station readings, with only an unexpected measurement revision or localized microclimate effect realistically able to shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$11,773Fecha de finalización
26 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus has coalesced around an implied 100% probability for a lowest temperature of 78–79°F in Miami on August 26, reflecting the strong alignment between climatological norms and observed conditions. Official National Weather Service data from Miami International Airport recorded a daily minimum of 77°F amid typical late-summer subtropical patterns, with average August lows near 77.6°F driven by persistent maritime tropical air, high dew points near 75°F, and minimal nocturnal radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Model consensus and historical analogs from the past decade show little deviation from this range absent a rare cold front or anomalous northerly flow, both absent in recent monitoring. Resolution hinges on verified station readings, with only an unexpected measurement revision or localized microclimate effect realistically able to shift the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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