Persistent upper-level ridging and a heat dome over the southern Plains are sustaining extreme heat across North Texas, with forecast models from the National Weather Service consensus showing mostly clear skies, light southerly winds, and minimal overnight radiational cooling for August 23. This setup favors daily minimum temperatures in the lower-to-mid 80s°F, consistent with recent observations where lows have held in the 80–85°F range amid dry soils and subsidence warming. Differentiation between sub-80°F outcomes and 98°F+ extremes hinges on variables like unexpected cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture increases that could enhance cooling versus continued clear, calm conditions trapping heat; historical August minima average near 76°F but have trended higher under similar ridging. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Dallas el 23 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más baja en Dallas el 23 de agosto?
98°F o más 78%
79°F or below 42%
84-85°F 30%
86-87°F 30%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 ago 2026
79°F or below
42%
80-81°F
13%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
30%
86-87°F
30%
88-89°F
21%
90-91°F
10%
92-93°F
18%
94-95°F
13%
96-97°F
3%
98°F o más
78%
98°F o más 78%
79°F or below 42%
84-85°F 30%
86-87°F 30%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 ago 2026
79°F or below
$0 Vol.
42%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
13%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
14%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
30%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
30%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
21%
90-91°F
$0 Vol.
10%
92-93°F
$15 Vol.
18%
94-95°F
$5 Vol.
13%
96-97°F
$5 Vol.
3%
98°F o más
$10 Vol.
78%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent upper-level ridging and a heat dome over the southern Plains are sustaining extreme heat across North Texas, with forecast models from the National Weather Service consensus showing mostly clear skies, light southerly winds, and minimal overnight radiational cooling for August 23. This setup favors daily minimum temperatures in the lower-to-mid 80s°F, consistent with recent observations where lows have held in the 80–85°F range amid dry soils and subsidence warming. Differentiation between sub-80°F outcomes and 98°F+ extremes hinges on variables like unexpected cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture increases that could enhance cooling versus continued clear, calm conditions trapping heat; historical August minima average near 76°F but have trended higher under similar ridging. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$35Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent upper-level ridging and a heat dome over the southern Plains are sustaining extreme heat across North Texas, with forecast models from the National Weather Service consensus showing mostly clear skies, light southerly winds, and minimal overnight radiational cooling for August 23. This setup favors daily minimum temperatures in the lower-to-mid 80s°F, consistent with recent observations where lows have held in the 80–85°F range amid dry soils and subsidence warming. Differentiation between sub-80°F outcomes and 98°F+ extremes hinges on variables like unexpected cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture increases that could enhance cooling versus continued clear, calm conditions trapping heat; historical August minima average near 76°F but have trended higher under similar ridging. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$35Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent upper-level ridging and a heat dome over the southern Plains are sustaining extreme heat across North Texas, with forecast models from the National Weather Service consensus showing mostly clear skies, light southerly winds, and minimal overnight radiational cooling for August 23. This setup favors daily minimum temperatures in the lower-to-mid 80s°F, consistent with recent observations where lows have held in the 80–85°F range amid dry soils and subsidence warming. Differentiation between sub-80°F outcomes and 98°F+ extremes hinges on variables like unexpected cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture increases that could enhance cooling versus continued clear, calm conditions trapping heat; historical August minima average near 76°F but have trended higher under similar ridging. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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