Persistent high pressure and easterly winds have sustained above-average warmth across North Texas, with recent National Weather Service forecasts indicating a Friday night low near 70–74°F for Dallas on September 25. Model consensus shows limited cooling as a positive North Atlantic Oscillation pattern keeps cooler air suppressed northward, consistent with the ongoing late-September heat anomaly that has produced multiple 90°F+ days. While a weak front could introduce minor variability, the primary driver of elevated overnight minima remains the lack of strong advection or cloud cover to enhance radiational cooling. Traders appear to weigh the warm bias heavily, reflected in elevated implied odds for readings at or above 80°F alongside residual probability for sharper drops if steering patterns shift. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the next key data points for resolution thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Dallas el 25 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más baja en Dallas el 25 de septiembre?
80°F o más 98%
61°F o menos 50%
70-71°F 40%
72-73°F 40%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 sep 2026
61°F o menos
50%
62-63°F
39%
64-65°F
39%
66-67°F
39%
68-69°F
39%
70-71°F
40%
72-73°F
40%
74-75°F
39%
76-77°F
39%
78-79°F
39%
80°F o más
98%
80°F o más 98%
61°F o menos 50%
70-71°F 40%
72-73°F 40%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 sep 2026
61°F o menos
$0 Vol.
50%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
39%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
39%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
39%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
39%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
40%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
40%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
39%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
39%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
39%
80°F o más
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and easterly winds have sustained above-average warmth across North Texas, with recent National Weather Service forecasts indicating a Friday night low near 70–74°F for Dallas on September 25. Model consensus shows limited cooling as a positive North Atlantic Oscillation pattern keeps cooler air suppressed northward, consistent with the ongoing late-September heat anomaly that has produced multiple 90°F+ days. While a weak front could introduce minor variability, the primary driver of elevated overnight minima remains the lack of strong advection or cloud cover to enhance radiational cooling. Traders appear to weigh the warm bias heavily, reflected in elevated implied odds for readings at or above 80°F alongside residual probability for sharper drops if steering patterns shift. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the next key data points for resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 23, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
25 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 23, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and easterly winds have sustained above-average warmth across North Texas, with recent National Weather Service forecasts indicating a Friday night low near 70–74°F for Dallas on September 25. Model consensus shows limited cooling as a positive North Atlantic Oscillation pattern keeps cooler air suppressed northward, consistent with the ongoing late-September heat anomaly that has produced multiple 90°F+ days. While a weak front could introduce minor variability, the primary driver of elevated overnight minima remains the lack of strong advection or cloud cover to enhance radiational cooling. Traders appear to weigh the warm bias heavily, reflected in elevated implied odds for readings at or above 80°F alongside residual probability for sharper drops if steering patterns shift. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the next key data points for resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
25 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 23, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure and easterly winds have sustained above-average warmth across North Texas, with recent National Weather Service forecasts indicating a Friday night low near 70–74°F for Dallas on September 25. Model consensus shows limited cooling as a positive North Atlantic Oscillation pattern keeps cooler air suppressed northward, consistent with the ongoing late-September heat anomaly that has produced multiple 90°F+ days. While a weak front could introduce minor variability, the primary driver of elevated overnight minima remains the lack of strong advection or cloud cover to enhance radiational cooling. Traders appear to weigh the warm bias heavily, reflected in elevated implied odds for readings at or above 80°F alongside residual probability for sharper drops if steering patterns shift. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the next key data points for resolution thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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