Recent forecasts for Istanbul on September 7 indicate overnight lows near 18°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, northeasterly winds of 5–13 mph, and surface pressures around 1022–1024 hPa that favor radiative cooling after sunset. Ensemble model spreads produce minimums ranging from roughly 17–22°C depending on exact timing of wind shifts and any residual cloud cover, creating the tight 47.5 % market split between sub-15 °C and 24 °C-plus outcomes. Historical September climatology for the city shows typical daily minima near 18–20 °C, so current guidance aligns with seasonal norms while small forecast revisions in dew-point depression or boundary-layer mixing could easily shift the realized low across the 20–22 °C cluster where several specific-outcome contracts trade near 27 %. Updated model runs and official observations issued overnight will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Estambul el 7 de septiembre?
24°C o más 93%
15°C 50%
16°C 50%
17°C 50%
14°C o menos
46%
15°C
50%
16°C
50%
17°C
50%
18°C
50%
19°C
50%
20°C
27%
21°C
29%
22°C
27%
23°C
50%
24°C o más
93%
24°C o más 93%
15°C 50%
16°C 50%
17°C 50%
14°C o menos
46%
15°C
50%
16°C
50%
17°C
50%
18°C
50%
19°C
50%
20°C
27%
21°C
29%
22°C
27%
23°C
50%
24°C o más
93%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Istanbul on September 7 indicate overnight lows near 18°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, northeasterly winds of 5–13 mph, and surface pressures around 1022–1024 hPa that favor radiative cooling after sunset. Ensemble model spreads produce minimums ranging from roughly 17–22°C depending on exact timing of wind shifts and any residual cloud cover, creating the tight 47.5 % market split between sub-15 °C and 24 °C-plus outcomes. Historical September climatology for the city shows typical daily minima near 18–20 °C, so current guidance aligns with seasonal norms while small forecast revisions in dew-point depression or boundary-layer mixing could easily shift the realized low across the 20–22 °C cluster where several specific-outcome contracts trade near 27 %. Updated model runs and official observations issued overnight will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes