Recent Met Office forecasts for London on August 30 indicate a minimum temperature of 15°C under mild southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. Ensemble model guidance supports this range, with historical late-August averages near 13°C but current conditions running 2–3°C above normal due to persistent warmth. Trader emphasis on 16°C as the leading outcome reflects uncertainty in exact timing of any clearer intervals or wind shifts that could trim the low by 1°C, while probabilities for 17–18°C align with potential for slightly warmer advection. Upcoming model runs and Met Office updates through the weekend will refine these implied odds ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Londres el 30 de agosto?
16°C 45%
17°C 36%
15°C 24%
18°C 16%
11°C o menos
2%
12°C
9%
13°C
14%
14°C
15%
15°C
24%
16°C
45%
17°C
36%
18°C
16%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C o más
9%
16°C 45%
17°C 36%
15°C 24%
18°C 16%
11°C o menos
2%
12°C
9%
13°C
14%
14°C
15%
15°C
24%
16°C
45%
17°C
36%
18°C
16%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C o más
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts for London on August 30 indicate a minimum temperature of 15°C under mild southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. Ensemble model guidance supports this range, with historical late-August averages near 13°C but current conditions running 2–3°C above normal due to persistent warmth. Trader emphasis on 16°C as the leading outcome reflects uncertainty in exact timing of any clearer intervals or wind shifts that could trim the low by 1°C, while probabilities for 17–18°C align with potential for slightly warmer advection. Upcoming model runs and Met Office updates through the weekend will refine these implied odds ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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