Recent forecasts from Met Office and European models indicate mostly clear skies and light winds over London on June 19, favoring moderate overnight radiative cooling after daytime highs near 25–31°C. This setup supports a minimum temperature clustered around 17–18°C at official urban stations, where the urban heat island effect and measurement timing introduce small but decisive variances. Ensemble spreads reflect lingering uncertainty from subtle differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, keeping trader-implied odds tightly matched between those two outcomes while assigning lower probability to 19°C or cooler readings below 16°C. Updated model runs expected overnight will likely refine the exact minimum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Londres el 19 de junio?
18°C 100.0%
14°C o menos <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$18,356 Vol.
$18,356 Vol.
14°C o menos
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Sí
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C o más
No
18°C 100.0%
14°C o menos <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$18,356 Vol.
$18,356 Vol.
14°C o menos
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Sí
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C o más
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Recent forecasts from Met Office and European models indicate mostly clear skies and light winds over London on June 19, favoring moderate overnight radiative cooling after daytime highs near 25–31°C. This setup supports a minimum temperature clustered around 17–18°C at official urban stations, where the urban heat island effect and measurement timing introduce small but decisive variances. Ensemble spreads reflect lingering uncertainty from subtle differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, keeping trader-implied odds tightly matched between those two outcomes while assigning lower probability to 19°C or cooler readings below 16°C. Updated model runs expected overnight will likely refine the exact minimum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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