Recent heat wave conditions across Southern California, with highs pushing into the low 100s through mid-August before gradual moderation, underpin the closely matched market odds favoring either sub-63°F or 82°F-plus lows on August 23. Official NWS guidance and ensemble models highlight uncertainty in marine layer depth and onshore flow strength overnight, which can trap cooler air near the coast or allow warmer downslope winds to dominate. Typical late-summer climatology shows Los Angeles overnight lows near 66°F, yet model spread on boundary layer mixing and stratus coverage creates the observed trader split between potential cooling and residual warmth, with resolution hinging on tonight’s updated forecast runs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Los Ángeles el 23 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Los Ángeles el 23 de agosto?
82°F o más 82%
76-77°F 51%
63°F o menos 43%
70-71 °F 28%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 ago 2026
63°F o menos
43%
64-65°F
27%
66-67°F
27%
68-69°F
30%
70-71 °F
28%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
51%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
6%
82°F o más
82%
82°F o más 82%
76-77°F 51%
63°F o menos 43%
70-71 °F 28%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 ago 2026
63°F o menos
$0 Vol.
43%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
27%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
27%
68-69°F
$25 Vol.
30%
70-71 °F
$0 Vol.
28%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
26%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
26%
76-77°F
$30 Vol.
51%
78-79°F
$30 Vol.
6%
80-81°F
$20 Vol.
6%
82°F o más
$10 Vol.
82%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heat wave conditions across Southern California, with highs pushing into the low 100s through mid-August before gradual moderation, underpin the closely matched market odds favoring either sub-63°F or 82°F-plus lows on August 23. Official NWS guidance and ensemble models highlight uncertainty in marine layer depth and onshore flow strength overnight, which can trap cooler air near the coast or allow warmer downslope winds to dominate. Typical late-summer climatology shows Los Angeles overnight lows near 66°F, yet model spread on boundary layer mixing and stratus coverage creates the observed trader split between potential cooling and residual warmth, with resolution hinging on tonight’s updated forecast runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$115Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heat wave conditions across Southern California, with highs pushing into the low 100s through mid-August before gradual moderation, underpin the closely matched market odds favoring either sub-63°F or 82°F-plus lows on August 23. Official NWS guidance and ensemble models highlight uncertainty in marine layer depth and onshore flow strength overnight, which can trap cooler air near the coast or allow warmer downslope winds to dominate. Typical late-summer climatology shows Los Angeles overnight lows near 66°F, yet model spread on boundary layer mixing and stratus coverage creates the observed trader split between potential cooling and residual warmth, with resolution hinging on tonight’s updated forecast runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$115Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent heat wave conditions across Southern California, with highs pushing into the low 100s through mid-August before gradual moderation, underpin the closely matched market odds favoring either sub-63°F or 82°F-plus lows on August 23. Official NWS guidance and ensemble models highlight uncertainty in marine layer depth and onshore flow strength overnight, which can trap cooler air near the coast or allow warmer downslope winds to dominate. Typical late-summer climatology shows Los Angeles overnight lows near 66°F, yet model spread on boundary layer mixing and stratus coverage creates the observed trader split between potential cooling and residual warmth, with resolution hinging on tonight’s updated forecast runs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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