Current forecasts for Mexico City on August 24 point to an overnight low near 12°C, driven by the city's high elevation (around 2,240 m) and typical rainy-season cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling while allowing scattered showers. Recent August minima have clustered between 12–15°C, with model consensus from multiple sources showing little deviation. The market's leading 46% implied probability on 9°C or below likely reflects trader emphasis on forecast uncertainty ranges, possible localized cold pockets, or model spread in a variable monsoon pattern, while the 24% on 19°C or higher prices warmer scenarios if skies clear less than expected. Official station readings will determine resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en la Ciudad de México el 24 de agosto?
9°C o menos 93%
19°C o más 48%
10°C 36%
18°C 26%
9°C o menos
93%
10°C
36%
11°C
19%
12°C
12%
13°C
19%
14°C
19%
15°C
19%
16°C
19%
17°C
18%
18°C
26%
19°C o más
48%
9°C o menos 93%
19°C o más 48%
10°C 36%
18°C 26%
9°C o menos
93%
10°C
36%
11°C
19%
12°C
12%
13°C
19%
14°C
19%
15°C
19%
16°C
19%
17°C
18%
18°C
26%
19°C o más
48%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Mexico City on August 24 point to an overnight low near 12°C, driven by the city's high elevation (around 2,240 m) and typical rainy-season cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling while allowing scattered showers. Recent August minima have clustered between 12–15°C, with model consensus from multiple sources showing little deviation. The market's leading 46% implied probability on 9°C or below likely reflects trader emphasis on forecast uncertainty ranges, possible localized cold pockets, or model spread in a variable monsoon pattern, while the 24% on 19°C or higher prices warmer scenarios if skies clear less than expected. Official station readings will determine resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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